Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies covered. Core Insights - The report highlights the global distribution of enterprise software spending, indicating that the US accounts for approximately 56% of sales, with Western Europe at 23% in CY24, showing minimal change from CY20 [15] - The exposure of software and cloud companies to China is relatively low, with the report suggesting that tariffs or actions on software will not have a significant impact [14][12] - The report expresses concerns about deglobalization, noting that regions like the EU may attempt to promote local software industries through regulations and tariffs [14][12] Summary by Sections Global Exposure of Enterprise Software - Enterprise software spending has remained stable globally from CY20 to CY24, with most companies generating more revenue outside North America [2] - The US market is the largest revenue driver for most companies, except for SAP, which has similar revenue exposure in Western Europe and North America [14][12] Microsoft and Oracle Exposure - Microsoft has a 22% exposure to Western Europe and 11% to Asia/Pacific, with China accounting for only 1.8% of Azure revenue [22][28] - Oracle's global exposure mirrors that of enterprise software, with 21% in Western Europe and 10% in Asia/Pacific [33][35] SAP and Adobe Global Presence - SAP has equal revenue exposure to the US and Western Europe, with 37% in North America and 37% in Western Europe [40][41] - Adobe has become more global over the past four years, with a revenue mix of 56% in North America and 23% in Western Europe by CY24 [42][45] Salesforce and Workday International Growth - Salesforce has increased its international revenue percentage from CY20 to CY24, now at 64% in North America and 20% in Western Europe [46][48] - Workday remains predominantly North American, generating 77% of its revenue in North America in CY24, although it is working to expand its international presence [51][54]

With a recession, either already underway or just around the corner, consumers have pulled back sharply on spending, particularly on big-ticket items like RVs. Tesla ( TSLA ) sales are declining, and even Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN ), despite notWith combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today. He has been a regular co ...

Group 1 - The stock market has rebounded sharply from recent lows, but caution is still advised as the economy may be in or approaching a recession [1] - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in covering technology companies and advising startups, providing insights into current industry themes [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of being vigilant despite market rebounds, indicating potential economic challenges ahead [1]

Core Viewpoint - Krispy Kreme's stock dropped 24% following the announcement of a reassessment of its partnership with McDonald's and the withdrawal of its full-year outlook due to economic softness [1][9] Company Performance - Over the past year, Krispy Kreme shares have decreased by more than 70%, resulting in a market value of less than $600 million [2] - The company reported a net loss of $33 million for the quarter ending March 30 [6] - Krispy Kreme has experienced three quarters of net losses in the last year [7] Partnership with McDonald's - The rollout of Krispy Kreme doughnuts in McDonald's locations has been suspended, with no additional launches planned for the second quarter [1] - The initial phases of the partnership showed promise, but sales fell below expectations, prompting the need for intervention to achieve sustainable growth [5] - The two companies had previously announced plans for Krispy Kreme doughnuts to be sold in all McDonald's U.S. locations by the end of 2026, but the rollout began only six months ago [3] Economic Context - McDonald's reported a 3.6% decline in U.S. same-store sales for the first quarter, indicating a broader trend of reduced spending at restaurants among middle- and low-income consumers [4] - The company cited macroeconomic softness and uncertainty regarding the McDonald's partnership schedule as reasons for pulling its 2025 outlook [9] Strategic Adjustments - Krispy Kreme is working with McDonald's to stimulate demand and cut costs by simplifying operations [6] - The company is considering pruning unprofitable locations, which could affect up to 10% of its U.S. network [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, the company generated net investment income of $0.67 per share and adjusted net investment income of $0.65 per share, compared to public guidance of approximately $0.66 and $0.64 per share respectively [11] - The company ended the quarter with approximately $3.2 billion of available liquidity [11] - The net asset value per share decreased from $23.64 at the end of Q4 2024 to $23.37 at the end of Q1 2025 [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company originated approximately $2 billion of new investments during the first quarter, with 45% focused on add-on financings to existing portfolio companies [18] - New investments included approximately 63% in first lien loans, 19% in asset-based finance, and 15% in capital calls to the joint venture [19] - The weighted average yield on accruing debt investments decreased to 10.8% as of March 31, down from 11% at the end of Q4 2024 [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 8% of the portfolio could have direct exposure to tariff policies, while low to mid single-digit exposure to DOGE is estimated [15] - Non-accruals represented 3.5% of the portfolio on a cost basis and 2.1% on a fair value basis, showing slight improvement from 3.7% and 2.2% respectively at the end of Q4 2024 [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a stable income for investors by keeping a consistent distribution strategy, with a declared second quarter distribution of $0.70 per share [11] - The focus remains on upper middle market companies with EBITDA between $50 million and $150 million, which are believed to have more resilience during challenging periods [20] - The company is actively managing exposure to tariffs and has exited two portfolio companies deemed to have higher risks related to tariffs [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed concerns about the worsening economic outlook and increased volatility in debt and equity markets [8] - The expectation is that the macroeconomic environment will stabilize by early next year, providing clearer insights into interest rates and other economic drivers [10] - The management remains cautious about the potential for a recession but believes that the company is well-positioned to navigate the current uncertainties [49] Other Important Information - The company closed on its second middle market CLO, raising $380 million of low-cost secured debt [33] - The management team has amended the Morgan Stanley funding facility, reducing the spread and extending the maturity date [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing of deployments and rate changes impact - Management noted that the origination number was satisfactory and that the decline in rates has mostly flowed through as of the end of Q1 [38][40] Question: Market share and competitive environment - Management indicated that they are gaining market share through diversified origination sources and strong sponsor relationships, although M&A activity has slowed [41][43] Question: Macro group insights on recession odds - The macro group sees a higher likelihood of a recession, albeit potentially muted, and is actively monitoring economic indicators [48] Question: Yield compression expectations - Management acknowledged the potential for additional yield compression as the portfolio churns, with new money yields expected to be lower than previous repayments [50][52] Question: Asset-based financing risks - Management highlighted that consumer-related risks in the asset-based finance portfolio are being monitored, with a focus on secured, high FICO score borrowers [62] Question: Interest coverage trends - Management explained that the lag effect in interest coverage metrics is due to the timing of rate changes and portfolio adjustments [84]

Group 1 - Linda Bammann, chair of the Directors' Risk Policy Committee at JPMorgan, sold over $2 million of the company's common stock, executing a transaction of 9,500 shares at $250 each, totaling $2,375,000 [1][2] - The day before, Bammann disposed of an additional 500 shares classified under code "G", indicating no cash exchanged hands for that portion [2] - CEO Jamie Dimon also sold 133,639 shares at $231.34 each, netting approximately $31.5 million as part of a pre-arranged trading plan, intending to sell 1 million shares by August 1 [3] Group 2 - The sales by Bammann and Dimon coincide with Dimon's cautious economic outlook, warning that trade tariffs could tip the U.S. economy into a recession [3][6] - Despite the insider selling, JPM shares have gained over 16% in the past month, driven by a strong first-quarter earnings report [6] - In Q1, JPMorgan reported $14.6 billion in net income and earnings of $5.07 per share, with revenue rising 8% year-over-year to $46 billion, boosted by asset management and investment banking fees [7]

Corsair Gaming (CRSR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 05:00 PM ET Speaker0 Afternoon, and welcome to Corsair Gaming's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded, and your participation implies consent to such recording. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to David Pasquale with Investor Relations. Tha ...

Group 1 - The current market focus is on the depth of the recession and the timeline for stocks to return to growth mode [1] - Recent fluctuations in stock prices have been influenced by a series of tariffs and reprieves [1] - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in technology sectors, both on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley, which informs his insights into current industry trends [1]

Since the trade wars initially began in late February, theTrade policy changes seemingly every day. Market volatility has spiked. And recession odds have crept uncomfortably high.These are turbulent times to be an investor.Join Now to Access Our Top Picks for April 2025!Your timing is perfect! We’ve just released our latest top investment picks, and by joining today, you’ll gain immediate access to these exciting opportunities.We invest thousands of hours and over $100,000 annually into researching the most ...

Shares of Uber Technologies (UBER 4.12%) rallied 11.2% in April, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, vastly outperforming the broader S&P 500 index, which was down 0.7% in a highly volatile month. After the shock of the April 2 "Liberation Day" tariff announcements, many stocks sold off. However, Uber managed to recover, as the company made several announcements with autonomous driving companies, and late in the month, its CEO said the company wasn't seeing signs of recession.Uber aims to ...