Inflation Trends - Monthly consumer price inflation was slightly lower than forecast, with headline inflation up 03%/10 and core inflation up 02%/10 [1] - Annual inflation is still rising, with both core and headline inflation up 3% over the past 12 months [1] - Some products experienced slowing inflation, offsetting the impact of tariffs [2] Federal Reserve Policy - Analysts believe the Fed will cut rates again [1] - The Fed's target inflation rate is 2% [2] - The Fed is expected to continue cutting rates [3] Economic Indicators - Housing, food, and car costs were notably restrained [1] - The government's measure of home prices rose at the slowest pace since January 2021 [1] - Furniture, clothing, and personal care products saw price increases due to tariffs [2] Data Collection Disruption - The government may not be able to collect price data for the current month due to the shutdown, potentially impacting the October CPI report and jobs number [4] - The absence of the October CPI report raises uncertainty about the Fed's ability to cut rates in December [4] Economic Outlook - The report suggests a k-shaped economy and a k-shaped CPI report [2][3]

It would have taken a surprising surge of inflation in September to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates in October—and that didn't happen. https://t.co/tZZXTh4b8h ...

Inflation Analysis - Evercore ISI认为，对于市场而言，通货膨胀是良性的，因为CPI数据低于预期，且未观察到关税转嫁到商品价格上的迹象[2] - 商品价格通胀低于8月份，住房服务通胀疲软，其他服务通胀略有上升，但总体而言无需担忧[2][3] Federal Reserve Policy - 由于通胀方面没有坏消息，美联储可以自由地通过降息来应对劳动力市场的疲软和风险[4] - 美联储将密切关注总体裁员情况，因为如果裁员人数增加且招聘仍然非常低迷，可能会导致失业率迅速恶化[6] Labor Market Dynamics - 初请失业金人数保持平稳，未发出失业方面的红色警报，但裁员公告仍需跟踪，以判断初请失业金人数是否会增加[6] - 需要密切关注联邦、州和地方政府的就业情况，包括Doge裁员的滞后效应和政府停摆的影响[8][9] - 政府停摆可能对需求侧产生宏观经济影响，经济学界将关注潜在的私营部门工资单和劳动力市场动态[9][10] Government Shutdown Impact - 政府雇员可能会因为停摆而错过工资，这可能会对需求产生轻微的宏观经济影响[7][9] - 除了潜在的私营部门劳动力市场动态外，政府部门的就业情况也需要密切关注[8]

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The odds of 3 rate cuts in 2025 has reached 85% on polymarket https://t.co/AGqbfB6UPs ...

>> FROM NEW YORK CITY FOR OUR VIEWERS WORLDWIDE, BLOOMBERG REAL YIELD STARTS RIGHT NOW. SCARLET: COMING UP, THE LONG-AWAITED AND LONG DELAYED TO SEPTEMBER CPI REPORT WAS BENIGN, SHOWING INFLATION AT THE SLOWEST PACE IN THREE MONTHS. OFFERING A PATH FOR THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO CUT INTEREST RATES BEYOND NEXT WEEK'S MEETINGS.SOME OF THE BIGGEST VOICES ON THE STREET WEIGHING IN ON POSSIBLE CRACKS IN THE CREDIT MARKET. WE BEGIN WITH A BIG ISSUE, A SOFTER THAN EXPECTED CPI PRINT. >> IT IS GENERALLY A BETTER-THAN-E ...

Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged over 500 points, closing at 47,249.67, marking a new record [12] - The S&P 500 rose 67 points to finish at 6,805.71, achieving its first-ever close above 6,800 [12] - The Nasdaq Composite climbed 294 points, reaching 23,236.55, primarily driven by technology stocks [12] Inflation and Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September showed a 3.0% year-over-year increase, slightly below the expected 3.1%, indicating easing inflation pressures [2][15] - The stable housing costs contributed to keeping the overall inflation figure manageable, which calmed fears of runaway inflation [20] - The market interpreted the CPI data as a potential signal for the Federal Reserve to pause or cut interest rates, which could stimulate economic growth [16][19] Sector Performance - Technology and semiconductor stocks led the rally, with significant gains from companies like AMD (up 6.7%) and Micron (up 5%) [21] - Energy stocks also rallied, driven by a more than 5% spike in oil prices, lifting major companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron by 2.5% to 3.5% [13] - Other sectors such as industrials, healthcare, and consumer discretionary contributed to the broad market rally, reflecting overall market confidence [6][11] Investor Sentiment - The strong performance across multiple industries signals growing market stability and confidence in the current economic environment [6][11] - Investors are encouraged by the gains, viewing them as a positive signal for portfolio growth and potential investment opportunities [8] - Despite the strong gains, analysts advise caution due to upcoming earnings reports and economic indicators that could create short-term volatility [7][24]

Economic Overview - Major averages are reaching record highs due to cooler than expected inflation data [1] - The inflation print came in lower than anticipated, primarily driven by a decline in the shelter category [3][4] - The Federal Reserve's current path is unlikely to change, as there is no immediate reason to deviate from it [6] Labor Market Insights - The labor market presents a mixed picture, with job growth appearing slightly better but indicators of labor market tightness declining [5][10] - There is a notable disparity between labor market indicators and GDP growth, leading to debates about economic direction [7][8] - Job growth has slowed significantly, influenced by lower immigration and an aging population, which may lead to increased unemployment rates [9][10] Productivity and Technology Impact - Productivity growth is better in the current cycle compared to the last, with GDP growth around 2% expected [9] - The integration of AI in the workforce is leading to job shedding outside of healthcare, raising concerns about future job growth [16][17] - Historical trends show that technological advancements can lead to faster job transitions and temporary downward pressure on inflation [17]

Macro Outlook - Goldman Sachs' chief U.S economist David Mericle discusses macro outlooks [1] Economic Analysis - The discussion takes place on CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' [1]

Welcome to Yahoo Finance's flagship show, The Morning Brief. I'm Julie Hyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today.First up, US stock futures shooting higher on the heels of the consumer price index report. The S&P 500 set to open at a new all-time high. This coming after the September consumer inflation report showed prices rose 3% from a year ago.Economists had expected them to rise 3.1%. The market is now baking in another rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Well, they already were.Now the ...

RT Bloomberg Opinion (@opinion)@JonathanJLevin @AllisonSchrager @RenMacLLC Underlying US inflation rose by less than expected in September, keeping the Fed on course to lower interest rates next week.Tune in for live analysis 🎥https://t.co/jBWVO733A4 ...