Economic Impact - The Trump administration's policies, including tariffs and attacks on the Federal Reserve, have negatively impacted the dollar [1] - A government shutdown would further harm the dollar, but its impact would be limited [1]

Because when you hear shutdown, it's easy to assume that everything I mean the entire store is closed. Not the case. Let's welcome in Pimco's head of public policy, Libby Cantrill.Uh Libby, welcome. Um lot of 750,000 people, huge potential impact. But I do want to remind our audience that I think this is critical because a lot of people are scared.People get social security, they they use Medicare for healthcare. They're scared. Let's be very clear.During a quote shutdown, people still get social security. ...

All these headwinds? Well, let's ask G Squared Private Wealth CIO and CNBC contributor Victoria Green and Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer Brent Chute. Guys, uh, welcome. Um, Victoria, it's been a really good September by historical standards, unless tomorrow's a disaster. Uh, so assuming it's not, should investors stay long risk? Yes, we're advising staying long risk because we don't fight the Fed. We don't fight the tape. And there are three things going for this market. Tech ...

Government Shutdown Risk - A US government shutdown is looming within 36 hours, with congressional leaders meeting with the President to seek a resolution [2] - The mood in Washington DC suggests a shutdown is likely, although the meeting could be a turning point [3] - Disagreements between Republicans and Democrats over healthcare provisions, specifically Affordable Care Act premium tax credits impacting 20 million Americans, are a key sticking point [4] Economic Impact - A government shutdown would halt the release of economic reports, including the widely watched jobs number [5] - Longer shutdowns extending into October would hinder data collection for key economic indicators like PPI, CPI, and jobs data, potentially impacting data accuracy [7][8] - Moody's predicts each week of a shutdown would shave 0.1% off quarterly GDP growth [9] Impact on Federal Workers - Millions of federal government workers and contractors face potential pay delays or non-payment during a shutdown [9] - While federal workers typically receive back pay, federal contractors may not, impacting businesses [10] - Mass layoffs of federal employees could begin if a government shutdown starts on Tuesday at midnight [10]

for a look at the economy following last week's PCE report. To join us right now is Carlile, head of global research, Jason Thomas. Good morning to you, sir.I think we're all trying to figure out where we really are. So, where are we. >> Well, I I think when you think when you look at the PCE report, I think the first point to make is that the Fed has not hit its inflation target in now 54 months.That's quite a long time. There are about three million uh children who are enrolled in elementary school in the ...

Inflation hawks and doves agree that the Fed is getting it wrong. That's encouraging (via @opinion) https://t.co/JR7L24Es2L ...

[Music] A partial government shutdown is just days away as lawmakers continue to debate a spending agreement. So, we're taking a closer look at what a shutdown means for you and your money. Essential services will continue through a shutdown, including military, law enforcement, the Postal Service, the Federal Aviation Administration, and the Transportation Security Administration.But those workers will not be receiving paychecks. During past shutdowns, some TSA checkpoints were closed and travelers faced l ...

🇺🇸 TRUMP JUST POSTED THIS !!!A PICTURE OF HIM FIRING FED CHAIR POWELL. https://t.co/Fmzk8UpeSZ ...

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said Bitcoin’s “biggest bull catalyst” could be an ultra-dovish policy shift following a change in Federal Reserve leadership. He noted that if Trump appoints a dovish chair, aggressive rate cuts could drive Bitcoin to $200,000 — but warned it would be “really bad for America” and could even threaten the Fed’s independence.https://t.co/cRnepqlgID ...

Market Trends & Inflation - The Treasury market's tenure is hovering below a key level of 425 basis points (425%) [1] - Inflation remains sticky, with year-over-year core PCE inflation at 290 basis points (290%) [1][2] - Core PCE inflation is holding at slightly below 300 basis points (300%), well above pre-COVID levels, while the target is 200 basis points (200%) [2] Monetary Policy & Labor Market - The Fed should pause any aggressive easing strategy unless the labor market deteriorates [3] - Initial claims were at 218000, indicating a tame labor market [3] Treasury Market & Dollar Index - Treasury yields are up seven basis points (700%) on the week in a two-year and about five basis points (500%) in a 10-year [4] - Since the Fed's easing on the 17th, the dollar index is up about 160 basis points (160%) [4] Economic Sentiment - University of Michigan sentiment shows some deterioration [3]