Well, coming into this week, investors were awaiting commentary from Fed Chair Pal and a potential decision from President Trump on whether to take military action in the Middle East. I want to bring in my contributor for the hour, Jeremy Schwarz, Wisdom Tree Global Chief Investment Officer. Jeremy, good to have you here in studio with us.You say geopolitics are taking center stage in 2025 when it comes to the markets. How does that play into the portfolio rotation that you're conducting right now. Yeah, yo ...

DANI: IT IS 5:00 A. M. IN NEW YORK CITY.I AM DANI BURGER WITH YOUR "BLOOMBERG BRIEF." GIVING DIPLOMACY A CHANCE. PRESIDENT TRUMP WILL DECIDE WITHIN TWO WEEKS WHETHER TO STRIKE IRAN. A $1 TRILLION PITCH.SOFTBANK'S FOUNDER TEAMS UP FOR AN AI HUB IN ARIZONA. AND TESLA SET TO LAUNCH ROBOTAXIS IN AUSTIN. IT IS THE CONTINUED PUSH AND PULL FOR THIS OIL MARKET.THE U.S. WAS OFF-LINE YESTERDAY, BUT BRENT CRUDE WAS TRADING DAY THAT IS WHAT YOU ARE SEEING, WITH REPORTS ORIGINALLY YESTERDAY THAT ALL MAKERS ARE READYING ...

Israeli airstrikes target a key Iranian nuclear site, as one of Israel’s largest hospitals is hit in an Iranian missile attack. Photo: Associated Press ...

Fed Policy & Interest Rates - The CNBC Fed survey projects the Fed funds rate to be at 389% by the end of the year [1] - The base case expectation is that the Fed will cut rates one to two times this year, aligning with the Fed's communication [2] - The Fed's policy statement is expected to remain unchanged, with any news potentially emerging from the statement of economic projections [3] - The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, awaiting further data to clarify inflation expectations [7] Economic Uncertainty & Geopolitical Factors - There's increased uncertainty due to the Middle East situation, reciprocal tariffs, and unclear US-China relations [4][5] - Geopolitics is playing a bigger role in inflation expectations [6] - The Fed's tools are limited in addressing changes in trade policy, the political environment, and geopolitical factors [6] US Dollar & Treasury Market - The dollar has shown weakness, with a temporary rebound as a flight to safety [8] - Foreign buyers have reduced their holdings of US Treasuries, decreasing from 50% to 30% over the past decade [8] - Dollar depreciation is anticipated to continue marginally, with treasury market volatility expected, especially in the long end [13] Investor Sentiment & Market Dynamics - Investors, including sophisticated institutional investors, are questioning their geographic allocation to US assets [10] - The depth and liquidity of US markets, including treasuries, the dollar, and private assets, remain robust [11] - There is still no alternative to the US dollar [12] - A transition is occurring that matters for flows and valuations, but it is marginal from a geopolitical perspective at the moment [12]

As AI reshapes the global balance of power, the infrastructure behind it—chips, data centers, power, and supply chains—has become a new arena for geopolitical competition. This talk explores how nations are racing to secure critical AI hardware, control compute capacity, and assert influence over the technologies and talent that define the future. About Dylan Patel Dylan is the founder, CEO, and Chief Analyst for SemiAnalysis, the preeminent authority on all things AI and semiconductors. Through Dylan’s unw ...

Let's start with your word of the day, Kevin. My word of the day, Frank, is restrictive. Now, the geopolitical events are dominating the headlines and for good reason, but we do have a Fed meeting this week and I think markets are going to be paying very close attention to the path of interest rates and I could make a case that I think that we're already in territories where we're getting a little restrictive and we need to start having a conversation at least about rate cuts.All right. So, I think we need ...

All right, joining us right now to talk more about Israel and Iran, specifically the impact for China and the energy markets, is Shazad Kazzy, the COO of the China Beige Book. And Shazad, this is a little different than what we usually bring you on to talk about. Geopolitics obviously flaring up in a big way.You're here to tell us what that means for for China, the other big superpower in the world. Yeah, I think the the key thing for China is first of all, they've already come out and said that they are op ...

All right, let's talk markets. Ahead of a big week, investors paying close attention to fighting between Israel and Iran as well as the Fed. The central bank's going to be issuing its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday.And right now, we want to bring in Lori Calvacina. She is head of US equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. And Lori, we thought we had a little bit of idea of how the markets were headed.We've been looking at inflation coming down. We thought maybe that was going to help the Fed get ...

Iranian missiles kill at least eight people and hit the key Haifa oil refinery as Israel targets command centers of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard. Photo: Atef Safadi/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock ...

of staff. That was during President Trump's first term, co-chair of ACTUM. Now, Mick, uh, your thoughts, please, on look, a lot of people were saying that the president kind of intentionally like he knew about this days ago, didn't say anything to the Iranians.We've seen now the what that has meant. What more do you expect of the Iranian response. Um, a bunch of different questions there.What to expect of the Iranian response. It's hard to say. It's hard to know what they still have available to them.I gues ...