Monetary Policy - FED cut rates by 25 basis points [1] - FED ends Quantitative Tightening (QT) [1] Market Outlook - Bullish market sentiment [1] - Expectation of a Q4 crypto melt-up [1]

Core Points - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that another rate cut in December is not guaranteed, highlighting differing views among Fed governors regarding inflation risks and labor market conditions [1][2] - The Fed has reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 3.75% to 4%, citing cooling labor conditions and persistent inflation [2] - Powell noted that while inflation has decreased from 2022 highs, recent price pressures in goods categories have emerged, leading to an upward tilt in near-term inflation risks [3] - The Fed plans to end its balance sheet runoff, concluding "quantitative tightening" on December 1, after reducing its securities holdings by $2.2 trillion over the past three and a half years [4] - Powell emphasized that the Fed will remain data-dependent and is prepared to respond to economic developments without a preset policy course [5]

Interest Rate Policy - The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the benchmark lending rate by 0.25 percentage point, setting a new target range of 3.75% to 4% [1] - Two policymakers dissented: one favored a 0.5 percentage point cut, and the other preferred no change [1] - The Fed's administered rates for interest on reserves and the primary credit rate mechanically decreased by 0.25 percentage point [1] Balance Sheet - The Fed will stop redeeming maturing Treasury securities at the end of November [1] - Principal payments will be rolled over going forward [1] - The mortgage cap of $35 billion a month remains in place [1] - As of December 1st, all principal payments on maturing agencies will be reinvested in Treasury bills [1] Economic Assessment - Economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace [1] - Job gains have slowed this year, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remained low through August [1] - Downside risks to employment rose in recent months, and uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated [2] - There is no change to their forward guidance, and the Fed will consider many factors when considering additional adjustments to the target rate [2]

The Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a quarter point to a new range of 375 to 4%. There were two descents on this. The second one by new Fed Governor Myron who wanted 50. First one by Kansas City Fed President Jeff Smith who wanted no change.So dissents on both sides. A kind of a rare occurrence for the Fed. The Federal Reserve announcing it is stopping quantitative tightening or the roll off of its balance sheet as soon as December.Um, all rolloffs of treasuries from here on out and mortgage back ...

Steve, >> the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a quarter point to a new range of 375 to 4%. There were two descents on this. The second one by new Fed Governor Myron who wanted 50. First one by Kansas City Fed President Jeff Smith who wanted no change.So dissents on both sides. A kind of a rare occurrence for the Fed. The Federal Reserve announcing it is stopping quantitative tightening or the roll off of its balance sheet as soon as December.Um, all rolloffs of treasuries from here on out and mort ...

With the market already pricing in a quarter percentage point cut, my next guests are now focusing on the potential end of quantitative tightening. So joining us now are Michael Schumacher, head of macro strategy over at Wells Fargo, and Ross Mayfield, investment strategist over at Baird. Thank you gentlemen both for being here.Michael, we're going to start with you. This is probably one of the more telegraphed rate moves that the Fed has seen and the markets are playing it that way as well. What exactly do ...

With the market already pricing in a quarter percentage point cut, my next guests are now focusing on the potential end of quantitative tightening. So joining us now are Michael Schumacher, head of macro strategy over at Wells Fargo, and Ross Mayfield, investment strategist over at Baird. Thank you gentlemen both for being here.Michael, we're going to start with you. This is probably one of the more telegraphed rate moves that the Fed has seen and the markets are playing it that way as well. What exactly do ...

Economic Activity - Economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace, with job gains slowing and the unemployment rate remaining low through August [1][2] - Recent indicators are consistent with the developments in economic activity and inflation has increased since earlier in the year, remaining somewhat elevated [1] Federal Reserve's Goals - The Federal Reserve aims to achieve maximum employment and maintain inflation at a rate of 2 percent over the long run [2] - There is elevated uncertainty regarding the economic outlook, with downside risks to employment having risen in recent months [2] Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Reserve decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 3.75% to 4% [3] - The Committee will carefully assess incoming data and the evolving outlook when considering further adjustments to the target range [3] Quantitative Tightening - The Federal Reserve plans to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1 [3] - The Committee remains strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective [3]

25 bps cut + end of QT in sightNow we wait for Powell's speechzerohedge (@zerohedge):FED CUTS 25BPSFED SAYS IT WILL STOP SHRINKING BALANCE SHEET ON DEC. 1FED SAYS MIRAN DISSENTED IN FAVOR OF HALF-POINT CUT ...

The end of QT matters more for bitcoin than today's rate cut at this stage in the cycle.If we get anything other than a dovish Fed announcing the end of QT with further support on standby, bitcoin is likely to have a visceral reaction. ...