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Consumer confidence SLUMPS as Black Friday shopping kicks off
MSNBC· 2025-11-30 02:25
Donald Trump is still obsessing over tariffs, the centerpiece of his economic agenda. And now he is bracing for a Supreme Court decision that could blow up all of his trade plans. Today, Trump posted on Truth Social that tariffs have made the country quote rich, strong, powerful, and safe.Adding that evil Americanhating forces are fighting us at the sup at the US Supreme Court. pray to God that our nine justices will show great wisdom and do the right thing for America. His urging comes as Americans face ec ...
You Only Need $500,000 To Retire If You Follow Vincent Chan's Framework: 'The Less Money You Spend, The Earlier You Can Retire'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-29 13:30
Core Insights - Financial personality Vincent Chan discusses the feasibility of retiring with a $500,000 portfolio, emphasizing that lower spending allows for earlier retirement [1] Investment Strategy - Chan suggests investing the $500,000 in an index fund with an annualized return of 9%, combining stocks and bonds for growth and safety [2] Withdrawal Rates - A 4.7% withdrawal rate, equating to $23,500 annually, is preferred over a 4% rate, allowing for earlier retirement while maintaining low expenses post-retirement [3][6] Inflation Considerations - An annualized inflation rate of 3% is factored into the calculations, impacting the necessary withdrawals to sustain lifestyle [4] Tax Efficiency - Chan recommends tax-efficient withdrawals, starting with traditional accounts up to the standard deduction of $31,500 for married couples, to minimize tax liabilities [5][6] Investment Growth - The portfolio can continue to grow despite withdrawals, provided the 9% annualized return is maintained, and retirees may spend less as they age, potentially reducing the need for a consistent 4.7% withdrawal rate [4]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-28 20:44
Nigerian central bank Governor Olayemi Cardoso hinted that policymakers could resume interest-rate cuts next year, provided inflation continues to cool as expected https://t.co/eeZyJWxR2W ...
What is the biggest driver of market action? The AI boom or the Fed?
CNBC Television· 2025-11-28 12:47
Let's talk first of all, Bill, to you about the global state of macro right now and just what it means for the Fed, central banks writ large and interest rate policy. >> Well, Dom, I don't think there's any debate at all that the Fed is going to be easing. The real debate is how fast is it going to ease and when is it going to start the next phase of easing.uh and the December uncertainty is there because the more hawkish members of the FOMC are are clinging to the notion that well we don't have a lot of da ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-27 18:28
Bank of England rate-setter Megan Greene played down hopes that a cut to energy bills at Wednesday’s budget will help the central bank stamp out the threat from sticky inflation https://t.co/VUPofzsiv5 ...
X @Wu Blockchain
Wu Blockchain· 2025-11-27 15:33
Multiple high-inflation countries are accelerating the use of crypto assets as an alternative store of value. Chainalysis data shows that from July 2024 to June 2025, Turkey recorded $200 billion in crypto transaction volume (local inflation around 32%), Argentina $93.9 billion (inflation around 31%), Nigeria $92.1 billion (inflation around 16%), Venezuela $44.6 billion (inflation over 170%), and Bolivia $14.8 billion (inflation around 22%). https://t.co/xSblFPz1Xu ...
X @The Block
The Block· 2025-11-27 08:34
Ark Invest loads up on Coinbase as Cathie Wood predicts 'real break' in inflation https://t.co/dypAOtuvKL ...
2 big things to watch in the economy: AI & Trump's Fed pick
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-26 20:38
Economic Outlook & GDP Growth - Trend growth in GDP for 2026 is expected to be decent, with a slight pickup from this year's slightly below-trend performance [1][2] - AI spending is estimated to be about 1.5% of GDP, contributing about a quarter of the GDP growth [6][7] - Government shutdown is expected to reduce GDP growth by 1-1.5% [30] - GDP is running at about 4.2% for the third quarter and was about 4% in the second quarter [25] Inflation & Monetary Policy - Inflation is expected to be a bit elevated in Q1, with potential Fed cuts after the next Fed chair takes position [4] - The Fed is likely to cut rates in December, then potentially pause as growth picks up [3] - The Fed may implement two more cuts after December, but further dovish policy may be difficult to push through due to differing opinions among members [4][15] - Rates are closer to what FOMC members view as neutral, making further cuts more difficult [14] Labor Market - Job growth is expected to average around 80,000 for 2026, compared to the recent average closer to 60,000-70,000 [19] - A pickup in cyclical areas of the economy like retail, finance, leisure, and manufacturing is expected to support job growth [18] - September jobs report showed payrolls rose by 119,000 a month, though the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4% [21] AI Impact - AI is considered an important but not game-changing factor in economic growth [7] - Concerns exist about overinvestment in AI, but it doesn't appear to be in bubble territory yet [9][10] - Companies are expected to continue investing in AI to avoid being left behind [11][12] Federal Reserve Leadership - Kevin Hasset is a front runner to be the next Fed chair [1] - Even with a more dovish Fed chair, getting committee consensus on policy may be difficult, especially with elevated inflation [13][14] - Fed independence is a lingering concern, but recent voting patterns suggest members are coming together [15][16]
X @The Wall Street Journal
Federal Reserve’s anecdotal look at the economy shows a sputtering job market and moderate inflation in November https://t.co/SpgHvvfh2t ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-26 18:02
The European Central Bank should be able to keep inflation at target thanks to a moderation in non-energy prices, according to Chief Economist Philip Lane https://t.co/B4xD8eyB1X ...