Bitcoin is a $100T idea currently valued at $2T.If you can study Bitcoin to the point where your conviction overrides the market's discount, that's the biggest informational asymmetry you're ever going to capture.I really enjoyed this podcast with @bramk 👇Bram Kanstein (@bramk):BFM173 w/ @JoeConsorti is live!⚡️“Bitcoin is a $100T+ asymmetric opportunity hiding in plain sight.”We discuss:🔸Bitcoin’s huge opportunity🔸The millennial retirement problem🔸Growing BTC market cap🔸Bitcoin vs Real Estate🔸Bitcoin’s shif ...

Gold held near the highest in a month, as risk-off sentiment returned among investors watching the progress of trade negotiations https://t.co/QQbpB6wXiv ...

One of the best correlations in the markets.- CNH/USD bottomed in April.- $ETH / $BTC bottomed in April.- Gold peaked in April.The risk-on vs. risk-off change already happened three months ago and since then $ETH has outperformed Bitcoin by 70%.This means that there's more upside to come in the next 12-24 months as the confidence is slowly getting build up. ...

Vancouver, Kelowna, and Delta, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - July 16, 2025) - Investorideas.com, a global investor news source covering mining and metals stocks issues a snapshot of fully permitted, pre- production gold and silver miner ESGold Corp. (CSE: ESAU) (OTCQB: ESAUF) (FSE: Z7D) and its strategy from its founding fifteen years ago, to minimize risk for its shareholders. ESGold Gold-Silver Project Mastantuono now continues to serve as Chairman of the Board while also taking on the role of Chief ...

Market Trends - Crypto markets experienced a wave of profit-taking and risk-off trading [1] - Over $406 million in long traders were liquidated in 24 hours [1]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook on gold, suggesting a potential knee-jerk rally but ultimately a defensive stance due to geopolitical risks and market conditions [5][6][8]. Core Insights - Gold prices have declined due to easing geopolitical risks following a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, with oil prices also contributing to the downward trend [3][4]. - The gold/silver ratio has narrowed, indicating silver's relative strength despite overall declines in precious metals [3][9]. - The report highlights that the market may require more destabilizing events to push gold prices to new highs, as current geopolitical tensions have not significantly impacted oil prices [6][8]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals Overview - Gold price as of the report: USD 3,302.50/oz, with silver at USD 36.06/oz, platinum at USD 1,304.00/oz, and palladium at USD 1,071.00/oz [2]. - Speculative positions as of June 17, 2025: Long positions in gold at 31.64 Moz, silver at 612.17 Moz, platinum at 3,668.7 thousand oz, and palladium at 1,062.4 thousand oz [2]. Market Focus and Emerging Trends - The decline in gold was cushioned by ETF purchases, but overall sentiment remains weak due to geopolitical developments and lower oil prices [3][4]. - The report notes that while gold has been resilient against lower USD and yields, the focus may shift to US budget concerns and ongoing Middle East risks [5][8]. Outlook on Precious Metals - The report expresses less optimism for silver, suggesting that the gold/silver ratio at around 90:1 may make long positions in silver less attractive [9]. - Platinum is facing resistance, and demand from China appears to be easing, which may also affect palladium prices [9].

Macro Strategy - The current market is entering a risk-off phase, with a potential shift back to growth after a period of risk-on behavior. The rotation pattern resembles that of early 2024 and late 2024, with initial strength in the TMT sector, followed by a rotation to upstream resources and finance, and then a short-term rebound in consumption and manufacturing sectors [1][10][11] - The macroeconomic fundamentals have not fundamentally changed compared to late 2024 and March 2025, suggesting that future industry rotation may continue to be driven by capital behavior. A defensive mode is recommended in the short term, focusing on stable sectors such as banks, utilities, and leading home appliance companies [1][11] Industry Insights - QuantumScape (QS) has successfully integrated its advanced Cobra membrane technology into its baseline battery production, marking a significant step towards scaling production capacity. The Cobra process improves thermal treatment speed by approximately 25 times and allows for more efficient production, representing a major advancement in ceramic membrane manufacturing [3][14] - QS's QSE-5 B solid-state battery cells have recently entered small-scale production, with deliveries to select automotive customers. The introduction of the Cobra membrane is expected to accelerate the trial and adoption of QS's B1 samples [3][14] - Domestic lithium battery equipment manufacturers have a significant first-mover advantage in the solid-state battery equipment sector, with several companies successfully covering the entire manufacturing process. In 2024, multiple equipment manufacturers have received orders exceeding 100 million yuan, positioning them to benefit from the industrialization of solid-state batteries [5][14] Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on solid-state battery equipment suppliers such as XianDao Intelligent, laser welding equipment manufacturers like LianYing Laser, and formation and capacity equipment providers like HangKe Technology. Attention is also drawn to dry/wet electrode equipment manufacturers and other related companies [5][14] - For ZhongAn Online, the company has initiated an H-share placement to enhance its capital base and support growth in its insurance and technology sectors. The expected net proceeds from the placement are approximately 39.96 billion HKD, which will bolster its financial strength and support its growth trajectory [7][17][18] - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. is undergoing a transformation into wealth management and financial technology, with significant growth expected in net profit from 2025 to 2027. The company is leveraging its acquisition of Dazhihui to enhance its competitive edge in the financial services market [9][19]

Group 1: Geopolitical Risks - The recent escalation of conflict between Israel and Iran has raised global geopolitical risks, with significant military actions observed since June 13, 2025[2][18] - If Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, it could trigger a broader regional conflict involving multiple countries, leading to increased market volatility[2][18] Group 2: US-China Relations - Despite a temporary easing of tariffs, uncertainties remain in US-China relations, particularly in technology and national security sectors, which could lead to further tariff increases[1][13] - The fluctuating tariff policies under Trump's administration create a perception of instability, impacting market confidence[1][13] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The transition from a risk-on to a risk-off phase is evident, with global equity assets showing signs of weakness since the tariff reversals began on April 7, 2025[3][19] - Market sentiment is shifting towards defensive assets like gold and the US dollar, while oil prices may rise due to geopolitical tensions[3][19] Group 4: Domestic Economic Indicators - Domestic consumption growth remains stable in Q2 2025, supported by holiday effects and fiscal data, but export growth faces a potential 10% tariff increase[4][23] - The overall economic outlook is characterized as "weakly stable," with market movements increasingly influenced by international events and capital flows[4][23] Group 5: Capital Flows and Market Behavior - Margin trading balances have stabilized around 1.8 trillion yuan, with institutional positions decreasing from 73.6% to 69.9%, indicating insufficient incremental capital[5][24] - Market trading behavior shows a trend towards structural rotation, with a notable shift from small-cap to large-cap stocks as market dynamics evolve[5][24]

Geopolitical Risks & Market Impact - U S airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites have heightened geopolitical risks, leading to concerns about potential Iranian retaliation and supply disruptions in the Middle East [1][2][5][16] - Oil prices initially spiked nearly 6%, but gains were later pared down to 1 4%, with Brent crude trading at $78 per barrel, reflecting market uncertainty regarding Iran's response [4][16] - The market is focused on whether Iran will disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial route for approximately 1/5 of the world's crude oil output [1][17] - Risk-off sentiment is observed across equity markets, with European futures down by 0 5% and similar trends in Asia, while the U S dollar gains amid concerns about escalation [2][57] - Gold prices are slightly weaker, down 0 2%, despite its traditional safe-haven status, indicating the primary focus remains on oil price volatility and potential retaliation [5][58] Potential Iranian Responses - Iran reserves the right to protect its people and sovereignty, with the possibility of a targeted response, such as striking U S military sites within the GCC [9][11] - Disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is another option, but it could be self-destructive for Iran's oil exports [12] - Iran may consider leaving the Non-Proliferation Treaty to signal its resolve to develop nuclear weapons [12] U S Objectives & International Reactions - The U S claims the strikes significantly set back Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities, but independent analysis is pending [6] - The U S asserts the mission was a precise attack on nuclear sites, not an attack on the Iranian people or a regime change move [6][31] - European leaders are calling for de-escalation and diplomacy, emphasizing that Iran should never be permitted to acquire nuclear weapons [50][51] - There are concerns among the international community about whether the U S airstrikes constitute a preemptive or preventative strike under international law [52][53] Long-Term Implications & Analysis - The location of 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium in Iran is unknown, raising concerns about the effectiveness of military action alone in eliminating the nuclear threat [15][37] - The debate continues regarding the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), with some arguing it capped Iran's nuclear ambitions, while others criticize its expiration date and failure to address ballistic missiles and terrorism [41][42] - Some analysts suggest the U S should support regime change in Iran, but emphasize it must come from the Iranian people, not external intervention [44][45][46]

Group 1: Geopolitical Risks - The recent escalation of conflict between Israel and Iran has raised global geopolitical risks, with significant military actions observed since June 13, 2025[2][17] - The potential for Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a broader regional conflict, increasing market volatility[2][17] Group 2: US-China Relations - Despite a temporary easing of tariffs, uncertainties remain in US-China relations, particularly regarding technology and national security issues[1][13] - Trump's fluctuating tariff policies may continue to create instability as he seeks to maintain Republican support ahead of midterm elections[1][13] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Trends - The market has shifted from a "risk-on" to a "risk-off" phase, with global equity assets reflecting a lack of driving force for recovery since the tariff reversals began on April 7, 2025[3][18] - Following the court's decision on May 28, 2025, the market's positive expectations regarding tariffs have largely been exhausted, indicating a potential shift in asset pricing dynamics[3][18] Group 4: Domestic Economic Conditions - Domestic real estate data shows a weakening trend compared to Q1 2025, while consumer spending is supported by fiscal measures but lacks sustainability without further subsidies[5][22] - Export growth faces challenges with at least a 10% tariff increase, leading to a weak and slowing overall economic outlook[5][22] Group 5: Capital Flows and Market Behavior - Margin financing balances have remained around 1.8 trillion yuan since April 7, 2025, with institutional positions decreasing from 73.6% to 69.9%[6][31] - Market trading behavior indicates a shift towards structural rotation, with declining turnover rates suggesting weakening market sentiment and potential end to industry rotation[6][31]