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中金:维持固生堂跑赢行业评级 目标价45.8港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 01:45
Core Viewpoint - Company maintains net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 at RMB 4.05 billion and RMB 5.21 billion, with current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 14.8 and 11.3 for 2025-2026, respectively, and a target price of HKD 45.8, indicating a potential upside of 62.5% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the number of patients treated reached approximately 1.607 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.2% [2] - The company expects the average selling price (ASP) to stabilize, despite minor impacts from recent healthcare policy changes, with profit margins anticipated to continue improving due to cost optimization efforts [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company has partnered with a digital healthcare platform in Singapore to integrate traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) services into Western medical clinics, aiming for a 70% control in the TCM treatment area [3] - The "National Medicine AI Avatar" platform was launched in Singapore, providing a learning platform for TCM practitioners and laying the groundwork for global resource sharing [3] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - From Q1 to Q3 2025, the company repurchased shares worth RMB 141 million and declared a mid-term dividend of RMB 76 million, resulting in a total shareholder return of approximately RMB 217 million, equating to a return rate of 3.2% [4] - With the recent share buyback announcement, the expected shareholder return rate could rise to 5.2%, with a potential annual return rate of around 7% if the dividend distribution remains consistent [4]