中国汽车芯片国产化

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摩根士丹利:中国汽车芯片国产化的三大投资主题
摩根· 2025-06-23 02:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for CR Micro (688396.SS) has been upgraded from Underweight to Equal-weight with a target price increase from Rmb28.10 to Rmb40.00 [3][5]. Core Insights - The report identifies three key investment themes in the Chinese automotive semiconductor sector: Power Discrete Devices, Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS), and Microcontrollers (MCU) [4][23]. - China's electric vehicle (EV) market is projected to grow significantly, with EV penetration expected to rise from 28% in 2024 to 42% by 2030, indicating a strong demand for automotive semiconductors [3][27]. - The report emphasizes the importance of localization in the semiconductor supply chain, noting that most global automotive chip companies are still in the early stages of implementing localization strategies in China [4][28]. Summary by Sections Investment Themes - The three key investment areas are: 1. **Power Discrete Devices**: Chinese companies have made solid progress in IGBT and SiC substrates, with opportunities in MOSFET and SiC devices [4][40]. 2. **ADAS**: The ADAS SoC market is expected to have the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR), benefiting various suppliers including SoC vendors and peripheral chip manufacturers [4][24]. 3. **MCU**: The self-sufficiency rate for automotive MCUs is very low, at less than 5% in 2024, indicating significant growth potential for leading local companies [4][41]. Market Dynamics - China consumed 56% of the global electric vehicle production, and the report forecasts that the domestic automotive semiconductor market will continue to grow faster than global peers due to the increasing demand for EVs and government support for supply chain localization [3][27]. - The report highlights that the automotive semiconductor supply chain in Greater China currently accounts for less than 5% of the global supply, with a self-sufficiency rate of only 15% [37][38]. Company Ratings and Strategies - The report recommends specific companies for investment based on their positions in the identified themes: - **Power Semi**: Companies like Starpower (603290.SS), Yangjie Technology (300373.SZ), and SICC (688234.SS) are highlighted for their growth potential [5][23]. - **ADAS**: Companies such as Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) and Will Semiconductor (603501.SS) are noted for their strong positions in the ADAS market [5][23]. - **MCU**: GigaDevice (603986.SS) is recognized for its potential to benefit from localization trends [5][23]. Future Projections - The report anticipates that by 2027, the self-sufficiency rate for automotive chips in China will reach 28%, reflecting the ongoing efforts to enhance local production capabilities [16][53]. - The expected growth in the electric vehicle market is projected to triple by 2030, with significant implications for the semiconductor industry [33][34].