Core Viewpoint - The speech by Zhang Yu, Chief Economist of Huachuang Securities, at the 2026 Global and China Capital Market Outlook Forum, presents a new perspective on the development stage of Chinese manufacturing, emphasizing the resilience of the midstream sector and its potential for recovery [1][7]. Group 1: Midstream Sector Resilience - The four key areas of midstream external demand (electromechanical exports) show resilience, with expectations for other electromechanical sectors to benefit from a mild recovery cycle in industrial production driven by global monetary policy easing [3][9]. - The ICT sector is anticipated to benefit from the ongoing technological revolution and the sustained prosperity of the global semiconductor market [3][9]. - Shipbuilding exports are expected to gain from high growth in existing orders, while automotive exports are projected to benefit from enhanced competitiveness and the ongoing electrification process in global automotive exports [3][9]. Group 2: Return on Equity (ROE) Insights - Focusing on the ROE of midstream listed companies, it is noted that ROE aligns with midstream Producer Price Index (PPI), which in turn correlates with midstream fixed asset turnover rates [5][11]. - Predictions regarding midstream fixed asset growth are based on reduced capital expenditures in 2024-2025, alongside forecasts for midstream demand benefiting from high prosperity in electromechanical exports, suggesting that midstream ROE may continue to rise [5][11].