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科技再度大跌!复盘历次主线板块调整时间
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 04:51
Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a mixed performance, indicating a period of volatility and potential sector rotation [1][5]. Market Analysis - The liquor sector demonstrated a strong initial surge at the opening but quickly retraced, while the semiconductor industry exhibited a negative correlation during the same period, highlighting the contrasting movements between these sectors [3][5]. - The liquor prices have been under pressure, with notable discounts observed during the recent Double Eleven shopping festival, suggesting a potential shift in consumer behavior and market dynamics [5][6]. Sector Performance - The average adjustment duration for main sectors since 2012 is 20 trading days, with an average adjustment magnitude of 18.1%. For the high-end manufacturing sectors, the average adjustment duration is 21 trading days, with an average magnitude of 19.2% [7][9]. - The semiconductor sector has seen significant adjustments, with historical data indicating that adjustments can range from 15% to 30% [9][10]. Investment Strategy - The current market conditions suggest a cautious approach towards high-valuation sectors, with a focus on identifying new trends and potential recovery in certain sectors, particularly in the technology space [10][11]. - The overseas technology LOF has yielded a return of approximately 5%, with a cumulative return of around 35.4%, indicating a viable arbitrage opportunity in the current market [11][12]. Trading Signals - The grid trading strategy has triggered transactions in 12 different varieties, indicating active market engagement and potential opportunities for profit [16]. - Current trends in various indices, such as the Sci-Tech 50 and the free cash flow index, show promising signals, while others like the Hang Seng Innovation Drug Index currently lack a clear trend [19][20].