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特朗普对华政策为何软硬兼施?北大教授:风险与机会并存
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-05 09:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the dual nature of Trump's China policy, which combines aggressive tariff measures with friendly overtures, impacting Sino-U.S. relations and creating both challenges and opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - Trump's imposition of tariffs, which reached as high as 145% on certain Chinese goods, is seen as a strategy to gain leverage in trade negotiations rather than a move towards decoupling [2][4]. - The large and complementary structure of Sino-U.S. trade means that tariffs could lead to significant economic repercussions if not managed properly, potentially accelerating decoupling in trade and technology [4]. Group 2: Diplomatic Strategy - Trump's foreign policy is characterized by a transactional approach, viewing international relations as negotiable and resolvable through pressure and dialogue [3][5]. - The geopolitical landscape is shifting, with Trump's recognition of China's growing influence necessitating cooperation on various global issues [3]. Group 3: Opportunities Amidst Challenges - Despite the challenges posed by the tariff war, there are opportunities for stable economic relations if the situation is handled effectively, suggesting a potential for a new mutual restraint ecosystem in trade [4][5]. - Recent agreements, such as the U.S. lifting bans on Chinese chip design software and China speeding up rare earth export approvals, indicate a complex interdependence that could facilitate better trade relations [4].