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麦格米特(002851):多元布局扩规模 利润静待释放
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 08:48
Core Viewpoint - The company reported lower-than-expected financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, primarily due to declining gross margins and changes in expenses and profits [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of 8.172 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was 436 million yuan, a decrease of 31% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 2.316 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 107 million yuan, down 23% year-on-year but up 329% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 was 23.90% and 22.95%, respectively, showing a decline of 0.65 and 2.95 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Business Segment Performance - In 2024, the smart home appliance control business generated revenue of 3.74 billion yuan, up 43% year-on-year, while the power supply business brought in 2.35 billion yuan, an 11% increase [3]. - For Q1 2025, the smart home appliance control business revenue was 1.23 billion yuan, a 32% increase year-on-year, and the power supply business revenue was 490 million yuan, up 1% [3]. - The company is expected to continue steady revenue growth as it expands its focus on key product areas and overseas markets [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is diversifying its business and expects improved profitability as various segments scale up [2]. - The data center business is progressing steadily, with expectations for significant deliveries starting in the second half of 2025 [3]. - The company aims to leverage customer partnerships for product updates and market opportunities, building a competitive moat [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its gross margin assumptions and forecasts net profits of 622 million yuan, 789 million yuan, and 1.013 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]. - The estimated price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 is set at 46.4 times, reflecting a 40% premium over comparable companies, with a target price of 52.91 yuan [5].