2025 年 08 月 26 日 零跑汽车(09863.HK) 中报业绩优异，规模效应持续释放，未来可期 事件：零跑汽车发布 2025 年半年度业绩，2025 年上半年公司 实现营业收入 242.5 亿元、同比+174.0%；实现归母净利润 0.3 亿 元、经调整净利润 3.3 亿元、同比均扭亏为盈。 新车周期下，销量提升推动 Q2 营收高速增长。 2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 142.3 亿元、同比+165.5%、环比+42.0%， 我们预计同环比增长主要来自新车上市带动及战略合作、碳积分 交易带来的收入增加：1）2025Q2 公司实现整体销量 13.4 万台、 同比+151.7%、环比+53.2%；零跑 B10、2026 款零跑 C16、2026 款 零跑 C10 等新车贡献显著增量；2）2025Q2 单车 ASP 达到 10.6 万 元、同比+5.6%、环比-7.3%。 规模效应进一步显现，Q2 再度实现季度盈利。 2025Q2 公司毛利率为 13.6%，同比+10.8pcts、环比-1.3pcts； 2025Q2 公司销售/管理/研发费用率分别为 5.6%/2.9%/7.7%，同比 下降 3.3/2 ...

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丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨福耀玻璃（600660.SH） [Table_Title] 福耀玻璃中报点评：规模效应叠加量价齐升，业 绩表现超预期，首次中期分红 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司高附加值产品渗透率持续增长加之全球市占率持续提升，公司 2025Q2 实现营业收入115.4 亿元，同比+21.4%；归母净利润 27.7 亿元，同比+31.5%。规模效应叠加纯碱等原材料成本下 降，公司盈利水平表现优异。展望未来，福耀作为最专注的全球汽车玻璃龙头，护城河将不断 变宽，公司中长期投资价值凸显。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 王子豪 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S0490524070004 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 福耀玻璃（600660.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 福耀玻璃中报点评：规模效应叠加量价齐升，业 2] 绩表现超预期，首次中期分红 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司 2025Q2 实现营业收入 1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese baking market is experiencing a shift from independent bakeries to new retail channels such as supermarkets and convenience stores, indicating a change in consumer demand despite stable market demand [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In 2024, the number of baking stores in China saw a net growth of nearly zero, with 92,000 new stores and 91,000 closures, highlighting a stagnation in traditional bakery growth [1]. - New retail channels are showcasing strong sales, with examples including Sam's Club's Swiss roll sales exceeding 1 billion yuan, Hema's strawberry box cake generating 200 million yuan in seasonal sales, and Pang Donglai's mooncake sales estimated at 200 million yuan [1]. Group 2: International Comparisons - The trends observed in the Chinese baking market are not unique but are part of a broader global phenomenon influenced by the development of industrial food technology and rapid market expansion [4]. - Mature baking markets in Japan, South Korea, Europe, and North America have established stable supermarket baking models that meet consumer needs while continuously creating popular products [5]. Group 3: Asian Market Insights - Japan and South Korea serve as benchmarks in the Asian baking market, characterized by high-frequency purchases and a preference for soft bread, with a supply chain model centered around short shelf-life products [6]. - The emphasis on freshness is a common principle in Japanese and Korean supermarkets, supported by a mature "factory collaboration + regional distribution" system [7]. Group 4: Consumer Preferences - In Japan, 82.8% of consumers prefer to buy bread from supermarkets, while in South Korea, this figure is 76%, indicating a strong consumer preference for supermarket-bought baked goods [11]. - Health considerations have become essential, with products like "no added sugar toast" and "low GI whole grain bread" dominating sales in Japan and South Korea [12]. Group 5: North American Market Characteristics - The U.S. baking market is characterized by family-oriented consumption, with supermarkets catering to bulk purchases and family needs, leading to a unique model of large packaging and high cost-effectiveness [23]. - Supermarkets in the U.S. account for approximately 70% of total bread sales, with a focus on stable quality and low prices, although they lack the innovative marketing strategies seen in Japanese convenience stores [30]. Group 6: European Market Trends - The European baking market is projected to reach $157.36 billion by 2025, with supermarkets contributing approximately 60%-70% of sales, reflecting a high dependency on supermarket channels [31]. - Different countries in Europe have tailored their baking strategies based on local consumer preferences, with Germany focusing on cost control through self-owned factories and local ingredients [33]. Group 7: Strategic Recommendations for China - Chinese supermarkets and chain brands can learn from international practices by adopting strategies such as fine segmentation, local sourcing, and fresh product delivery to enhance consumer trust and satisfaction [42][43]. - Emphasizing family-oriented products and transparent labeling can help build consumer confidence and cater to local market demands [44][46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company shows an upward trend in single-store performance and is advancing mergers and acquisitions to release production capacity [5][6] - The company reported a total revenue of 835 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a 9% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 132 million yuan, up 18% year-on-year [4] - The gross margin improved by 2 percentage points to 28.23% in Q2 2025, driven by cost optimization and scale effects [5] - The company has successfully integrated the supply chain for the "Manxiangren" brand and is deepening market penetration in East China [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, total revenue reached 465 million yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising by 31% to 94 million yuan [4][5] - The company’s EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.21, 1.32, and 1.42 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 17, and 16 times [9] Business Development - The company’s food revenue in Q2 2025 was 421 million yuan, with significant growth in customized filling products [6] - The franchise sales revenue reached 348 million yuan in Q2 2025, marking a 10% increase year-on-year, with a total of 5,685 franchise stores by the end of Q2 2025 [6] Market Strategy - The company is enhancing cooperation with major clients, achieving a 26% increase in group meal revenue to 106 million yuan in Q2 2025 [7] - Retail sales through channels like Hema and Tmall saw substantial growth, with increases of approximately 187% and 20% respectively in H1 2025 [7]

证券研究报告 途虎-W (9690 HK) 港股通 收入利润好于预期，市占率持续巩固 2025 年 8 月 22 日│中国香港 互联网 途虎 1H25 总收入 78.8 亿元，同比+10.5%，好于 VA 一致预期的 78.0 亿元； 非 IFRS 净利润 4.1 亿元，好于 VA 一致预期的 3.6 亿元，对应非 IFRS 净 利率 5.2%，同比上升 0.2pp，主因费用率优化成效较好，部分被毛利率端 在较高基数下同比下降所抵消。在温和的消费环境下，汽服行业持续处于供 给出清状态，途虎凭借较为标准化的服务能力与持续拓宽的服务范围，不断 夯实用户心智并提升市场份额，规模效应的提升有望逐步在公司利润端孵化 成果，并对冲成本波动及价格竞争加剧带来的利润率波动风险。公司指引 2H25 收入增速有望延续 1H25 势头，毛利率环比 1H25 或持平。"买入"。 客单价降低及销售成本增加影响短期毛利率释放 公司 1H25 收入同增 10.5%至 78.8 亿元，其中汽车产品和服务收入同增 10.8%至 73.6 亿元，略好于 VA 一致预期的 72.8 亿，业务细项中轮胎/保养 收入分别为 32.9/29.1 亿元， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.87 CNY, based on a PE valuation of 13X for comparable companies [3][5]. Core Views - The company's performance has shown significant improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with a gradual recovery in profitability expected. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 313 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 29.14%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 92.63% in Q2 2025 [9]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in demand for its cold-rolled stainless steel products, with production and sales volumes increasing by 11.68% and 13.74% respectively in Q2 2025. This has led to an increase in capacity utilization and a rise in gross margin to 5.90% [9]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with new projects underway that are expected to enhance profit margins as downstream demand gradually recovers. The company’s projects, such as the 1.2 million tons per year high-quality wide stainless steel strip project, are beginning to ramp up production [9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 39.874 billion CNY in 2023 to 50.900 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 453 million CNY in 2023 to 948 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery in profitability [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 1.99 CNY, 2.25 CNY, and 2.59 CNY respectively, down from previous estimates [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by effective management strategies and expansion of service offerings [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 450 million, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, while total revenue including the management center was 523 million, up 35% [1] - Adjusted net profit was 38.78 million, reflecting a 126.1% year-on-year increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 327 million, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - The company exceeded its previous profit forecast, with net profit not less than 320 million and adjusted net profit not less than 38 million [1] Business Expansion - The company accelerated its expansion, adding 36 new stores in the first half of 2025, surpassing the total number of new stores opened in 2024 [1][2] - The number of maternity centers reached 113 by the end of the first half of 2025, with significant contributions from various brands [2] Service Offerings and Growth - The company is developing a comprehensive service matrix, with new business segments such as postpartum recovery, home care, and food services showing positive growth trends [1][2] - The conversion rate for secondary sales reached a record high of 93.8%, indicating strong customer retention and cross-selling potential [2] Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for the maternity center business improved to 35.5%, up 3.5 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from increased management output [2] - Marketing expenses decreased to 12.0% of revenue, and management expenses fell to 22.1%, contributing to an overall gross margin of 37.6% [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to launch the industry's first AI Agent product in the second half of 2025, which is expected to enhance profitability [3] - Long-term growth is anticipated through overseas expansion, mergers and acquisitions, and technological advancements [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting adjusted net profits of 121 million, 205 million, and 306 million for 2025 to 2027, respectively [3] - The target price is set at 9.76 HKD, with a "buy" rating based on the company's growth potential and market position [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 20% [6][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong profit growth driven by scale effects, with Q2 2025 revenue reaching 706 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 44 million yuan, up 161% [2][3]. - The company is solidifying its leading position in the ADAS lidar market, with significant growth in shipments and successful expansion into major clients [3][4]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 248 million, 582 million, and 988 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.9, 4.5, and 7.6 yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [2][4]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 3.352 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 61.4% [5]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 is reported at 42.5%, with a notable improvement in expense ratios across sales, management, and R&D [4]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 101.0, 42.8, and 25.3 times respectively, indicating a decreasing valuation multiple as earnings grow [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a net profit growth of 72% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 900 million yuan, a 25.25% increase compared to the previous year [2][8]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 483 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16%. The net profit for the same quarter was 46 million yuan, up 52% year-on-year and 35% quarter-on-quarter [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 24.25%, an increase of 3.87 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose by 2.07 percentage points to 9.52% [3][16]. Business Segments - The company specializes in spring manufacturing, with 50% of its revenue coming from chassis components, including traditional suspension springs and stabilizer bars. The remaining 40% is derived from body interior and power system components [4][21]. - The company has been actively expanding its capabilities through targeted acquisitions, enhancing its product offerings and market reach [5][21]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to invest 650 million yuan in building production capacity for smart suspensions and electric/hydraulic drive elastic components, anticipating significant market potential in these areas [7][28]. - The company has successfully delivered samples of springs for humanoid robots, indicating its entry into new markets [6][28]. Market Position and Expansion - The company has established a broad customer base, serving major automotive brands and international suppliers, which supports its growth strategy [25][26]. - The company is expanding its production capacity in Mexico and Germany to enhance its global footprint and meet increasing international demand [26][28].