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代糖战来了新角色
经济观察报· 2025-10-11 08:21
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging market for D-Allulose, a new sugar substitute approved for use in China, highlighting its potential applications and the industry's response to its commercialization [3][5][10]. Group 1: Market Potential and Demand - D-Allulose is recognized as a "new generation sugar substitute" with a sweetness level of 70% compared to sucrose and low caloric content, making it a promising alternative for the food industry [5][12]. - The global market for D-Allulose is projected to reach $14.77 million in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 14% from 2025 to 2034 [6]. - The "Healthy China Action (2019-2030)" initiative aims to limit daily added sugar intake to 25 grams per person, increasing the demand for safer and higher-quality sugar substitutes [3][5]. Group 2: Production and Supply Chain - D-Allulose can be produced through two main methods: biological fermentation using E. coli and enzyme-catalyzed conversion, with the latter being more commonly adopted due to lower initial investment requirements [8][9]. - Major companies like COFCO and Baolingbao are ramping up production capabilities, with Baolingbao planning to reach an annual production capacity of approximately 30,000 tons by 2026 [9][12]. - The production process is currently limited by the availability of enzyme preparations, which are crucial for D-Allulose production [9][10]. Group 3: Industry Response and Challenges - Downstream companies, including Wahaha and Mengniu, are interested in testing D-Allulose in their products, but large-scale application is still in the research and testing phase [11][12]. - The cost of D-Allulose remains a significant barrier, with current prices ranging from 20,000 to 24,000 yuan per ton, compared to around 10,000 yuan per ton for erythritol [13][14]. - Concerns about potential overcapacity in the market exist, as seen with erythritol, which experienced a price drop due to oversupply [14][15]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry outlook for D-Allulose remains optimistic, with expectations that production costs will decrease as capacity increases [15]. - Key factors for market success include continuous technological innovation, cost control, and the establishment of a complete industrial ecosystem [15].