企业碳配额
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企业碳配额与产出挂钩不设总量上限,紫金赋能龙净逻辑不变且持续深化 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-12-02 03:04
Industry Overview - The carbon quota allocation mechanism is linked to production output without a total carbon emission cap, focusing on intensity-based dynamic adjustments [1][2] - The allocation mechanism is based on the experience of the power generation industry, implementing free quota distribution based on carbon emission intensity control, with total quotas dynamically associated with industry production levels [2] - New key emission units in the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries must complete the first quota clearance for 2024 by 2025 [1][2] Company Tracking - Longking Environmental has seen significant shareholding increases from Zijin Mining, with stable leadership transitions expected to enhance Longking's business [3] - China Water Affairs reported a revenue of HKD 5.183 billion for FY26H1, a decrease of 12.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 571 million, down 24.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in connection and construction activities [3] - The company has reduced capital expenditures by 31.8% to HKD 1.243 billion in FY26H1, while maintaining a dividend of HKD 0.13 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.8% [3] Solid Waste Sector Insights - The solid waste sector has shown strong fundamentals in Q3 2025, with a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point increase in gross margin [3] - Free cash flow in the solid waste sector reached RMB 13.3 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28%, with capital expenditures down 12% [3] - The average waste incineration companies' output per ton increased by 1.8% year-on-year in H1 2025, indicating operational efficiency improvements [3] Water Sector Insights - The water sector is expected to experience a cash flow turnaround, with significant increases in free cash flow anticipated starting in 2026 [4] - Recent water price reforms in major cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to enhance revenue and profitability for water companies [5] - Recommended companies in the water sector include Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment, with a focus on improving cash flow and dividend payouts [5] Industry Tracking - The sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 61.32% year-on-year in the first ten months of 2025, with a penetration rate of 18.02% [6] - The average price of biodiesel remained stable, while net profits per ton have declined [6] - Lithium carbonate prices have risen, improving profitability in lithium battery recycling [6]