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下半年市场怎么走?陈果重磅研判:关注这几个方向!
格隆汇APP· 2025-07-08 09:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Chinese capital market is expected to reach new heights in the second half of 2025, with a focus on global macro perspectives and investment opportunities [3][5][11] - The Chinese stock market has shown decent performance in the first half of the year, and major indices are anticipated to reach new highs in the second half [3][5] - A global perspective is essential for identifying investment opportunities, particularly in the context of the ongoing weak dollar cycle, which is expected to create favorable conditions for the Hong Kong stock market [5][12] Group 2 - The article discusses the potential for improved Sino-U.S. relations, which may exceed market expectations, particularly if a trade agreement is reached [8][11] - The impact of U.S. tariff policies on China's economy and exports is highlighted, emphasizing the importance of a stable economic relationship between the two countries [7][11] - The article suggests that a more open and confident China, along with a stable Sino-U.S. relationship, could lead to valuation increases in the Chinese stock market [11][12] Group 3 - Key investment directions for the second half of the year include the acceleration of the engineer dividend, new market opportunities abroad, and the revaluation of traditional industry leaders [14] - The article notes that the number of Chinese PhD graduates in engineering is significantly increasing, which is expected to drive technological advancements and market surprises [14] - Traditional industries that previously faced overcapacity may now present opportunities for revaluation, particularly in the context of current economic adjustments [14]