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研报掘金丨中泰证券:维持新华保险“买入”评级,高基数下业绩持续大增彰显权益业绩弹性
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-14 09:44
Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Insurance has announced a significant increase in its net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with projections indicating a rise of 45% to 65% year-on-year, driven by a recovering capital market and improved investment returns [1] Financial Performance - The estimated net profit for the first nine months of 2025 is projected to be between 29.986 billion yuan and 34.122 billion yuan, with a central estimate of 31.555 billion yuan [1] - The expected net profit for the third quarter of 2025 is 17.255 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 79.8% [1] Market Conditions - The recovery of the Chinese capital market has led to substantial growth in investment income, contributing to the overall increase in net profit [1] - The "slow bull" market has positively impacted equity investments, allowing the company to realize gains from bottom-fishing strategies [1] Investment Outlook - The significant improvement in investment spreads has resulted in net profit exceeding expectations, highlighting the resilience of equity performance [1] - The company has raised its expectations for investment returns and maintains a "buy" rating based on the anticipated dual impact of valuation and performance in the insurance sector [1]