低估值行业龙头

Search documents
建筑建材行业周报:继续推荐中国化学等低估值行业龙头-20250803
Western Securities· 2025-08-03 07:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on industry leaders with low valuations, particularly China Chemical [1][3]. Core Viewpoints - The construction and building materials industry is currently at the bottom of its economic cycle, with expectations for stabilization and recovery due to supportive government policies [1][2]. - Recent government meetings emphasized the need for high-quality investment and the activation of private investment, which could enhance the industry's outlook [1]. - The report highlights the recent approval of two coal-to-natural gas projects in Xinjiang, marking a significant step towards low-carbon and clean development in the coal chemical industry [1]. Market Overview - As of August 1, 2025, the newly issued local government special bonds amounted to 183.204 billion yuan, a week-on-week decrease of 10.82% [2]. - In July, the total new local government special bonds issued reached 616.936 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 17.04% and a year-on-year increase of 119.18% [2]. - The construction index fell by 2.51% and the building materials index fell by 3.32% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025 [10]. Cement Market Analysis - National cement prices continued to decline, with a week-on-week drop of 0.3% as of August 1, 2025 [41]. - The average national cement price was 339.7 yuan per ton, with significant regional variations [46]. - The report anticipates a stabilization in cement prices in the short term, despite current demand not showing significant improvement [41]. Company Performance and Valuation - The report strongly recommends focusing on major construction blue-chip stocks such as China Communications Construction, China Railway Construction, and China State Construction [3]. - The construction sector's overall valuation is at a historical low, with the current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the construction and building materials sectors at 8.72 and 19.67, respectively [18]. - Key companies in the construction sector are experiencing varying growth rates in new orders, with China Railway Construction showing a decline in order growth in recent quarters [63].