Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance of upcoming meetings in the Russia-Ukraine peace process, highlighting three key meetings: the Russia-Ukraine leaders' meeting, the US-Russia-Ukraine trilateral meeting, and the US-Russia-Ukraine-EU quadrilateral meeting [3][6]. Group 1: Upcoming Meetings - The first milestone event in the peace process is the meeting between US and Russian leaders in Anchorage, Alaska, scheduled for August 15, 2025 [2]. - Following this, the Russia-Ukraine leaders' meeting is crucial, but its prospects remain unclear [5]. - The sequence of meetings is structured as "two-two-three-four," representing the bilateral and multilateral nature of the discussions [3]. Group 2: Attitudes and Positions - Ukrainian President Zelensky has expressed a willingness to meet with Putin, while Trump is also actively working to arrange this meeting [6]. - Russia has not provided clear signals regarding the meeting, with officials emphasizing the need for thorough preparation and respect for Russia's security interests [7][6]. - Zelensky's firm stance on territorial issues during his meeting with Trump did not align with Russian expectations, which could hinder the potential for a leaders' meeting [8]. Group 3: Implications of Meeting Outcomes - If the Russia-Ukraine leaders' meeting does not occur, subsequent trilateral and quadrilateral meetings will be jeopardized, stalling the peace process [9]. - The ongoing military actions from both sides may influence the negotiation dynamics, potentially creating space for Trump's mediation efforts [10][11]. Group 4: Role of the EU - The EU is expected to be the last party to join the negotiation table, as resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict is a prerequisite for discussing European security [12]. - The EU's insistence on being included in the peace process appears somewhat misplaced, as the focus remains on direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine [13].

Core Points - The meeting between US and Russian leaders in Anchorage, Alaska on August 15, 2025, is a milestone event in the Russia-Ukraine peace process [1] - Following this, three significant meetings are planned: a Russia-Ukraine leaders meeting, a trilateral meeting involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine, and a quadrilateral meeting including the EU [1] - The sequence of meetings is structured as "two-two-three-four," forming a roadmap for the peace process [1] Group 1 - The prospects for the Russia-Ukraine leaders meeting remain unclear after the US-Russia summit [3] - Ukrainian President Zelensky has expressed a positive attitude, indicating willingness to meet with Putin [4] - Trump has also shown a proactive stance, initiating arrangements for a bilateral meeting with Zelensky [5] Group 2 - Russia's response indicates a lack of clear signals regarding the meeting, emphasizing the need for thorough preparation before any talks [5] - Zelensky's firm stance on territorial issues during his meeting with Trump did not align with Russia's expectations, which could hinder the leaders' meeting [6] - If the Russia-Ukraine leaders meeting does not occur, subsequent trilateral and quadrilateral meetings may not take place, stalling the peace process [7] Group 3 - Trump is expected to apply pressure on Zelensky while facilitating communication with Putin [8] - Both Russia and Ukraine are likely to intensify military efforts, with Russia aiming to gain more territory and Ukraine planning significant attacks [8][9] - The EU is positioned to join the negotiation table only after the Russia-Ukraine conflict is resolved, indicating a sequential approach to addressing European security issues [10] Group 4 - The EU's insistence on being included in the peace process appears somewhat petty, given the current order of negotiations [11] - The collective visit of seven European leaders to the White House was more of a symbolic gesture rather than a substantial contribution to the peace process [12] - Trump's disregard for European leaders during the meeting highlights a potential rift in the dynamics of the negotiations [13]

2025年8月15日美俄首脑在阿拉斯加安克雷奇的会晤，是俄乌和平进程中第一个具有里程碑意义的事 件。 8月18日特朗普在白宫会见泽连斯基及其他7个欧洲领导人，意义重大，但算不上标志性事件。 接下来，根据特朗普的规划以及欧洲领导人的强烈要求，有三场（种）重要的会晤将成为俄乌和平进程 中的标志性事件，它们分别是：俄乌领导人会晤、美俄乌三方会晤、美俄乌欧四方会晤。 美俄会晤和接下来三场（种）标志性会晤，参与方分别是两方、两方、三方、四方，所以，"二二三 四"构成俄乌和平路线图。 这条路线并非一马平川。 美俄首脑会晤之后，俄乌领导人会晤的前景并不明朗。 泽连斯基的态度是积极的，他多次表示愿意和普京会面。 怎么办？ 在谈判上，特朗普会继续施压泽连斯基，同时与普京进行积极的沟通和斡旋。 在战场上，预计俄乌双方都会加大力度。俄方会在顿涅茨克州持续进攻，力争占据更多地盘。乌方也会 持续用无人机对俄罗斯的后方进行攻击，并且不排除实施重大的袭击行动，比如袭击克里米亚大桥以及 俄方重要的战略设施。 如此边打边谈，俄乌双方的态度和立场，都有可能松动，这也就给特朗普的斡旋提供了空间。 回过头说欧盟。 在俄乌和平进程中，欧盟应该是最后上 ...