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【中国银河固收】专题 | 债基规模回落,普遍降杠杆、缩久期、信用适度下沉
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 15:00
Fund Size - The total public fund size reached 35.4 trillion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.04% or approximately 2.02 trillion yuan [6][11] - The bond fund size decreased by 0.25 trillion yuan to 10.56 trillion yuan, accounting for a reduction of 2.57% [6][11] - The stock fund size expanded significantly, increasing by 1.03 trillion yuan to 5.26 trillion yuan, while other fund types also saw slight growth [6][11] Pure Bond Fund Performance - The total size of pure bond funds decreased by 0.75 trillion yuan, with bond positions dropping by 0.7-2.3 percentage points [22][23] - The average yield of pure bond funds fell to 0.52%, down from 1.05%, indicating a significant decline in performance [42][43] - The maximum drawdown for bond funds increased from -0.15% to -0.54%, reflecting heightened risk [42][46] Asset Allocation - The allocation of pure bond funds remains primarily in financial bonds (including policy financial bonds), with a notable increase in credit bonds [14][20] - Financial bonds accounted for approximately 59.09% of the allocation, while credit bonds made up about 54.62% [14][20] - The proportion of financial bonds has remained stable between 50%-60% since 2020 [14] Leverage and Duration - The average leverage ratio for bond funds decreased to 114.53%, down from 117.88%, indicating a trend towards reduced leverage [54][55] - The average duration of bond funds shortened to 2.71 years, down from 3.45 years, as funds sought to mitigate interest rate risk [54][55] - The concentration of holdings in the top five positions increased to 40.04%, reflecting a slight rise in concentration [58] Credit Strategy - Many pure bond funds adopted a strategy of credit downgrading, with AAA-rated holdings decreasing by 2.99% and 3.45% for medium and short-term funds, respectively [60] - The strategy shift was primarily due to significant market adjustments, prompting funds to seek higher coupon income [60]