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液态包装机械行业研究报告:风起出海价值发现:天鸟遮日磅礴雨,雨过晴天犹可慰
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-30 14:08
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the liquid packaging machinery industry. Core Insights - The liquid packaging machinery is essential for the fast-moving consumer goods sector, particularly in food and beverage, personal care, and condiments. The industry primarily focuses on complete line sales, such as "blow-fill-cap" solutions. In developed markets, the emphasis is on upgrading existing production lines, while developing markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are still expanding their production capacity. The economic lifespan of domestic liquid packaging machinery is typically around 10 years [4][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Liquid Packaging Machinery Overview - Liquid packaging machinery is crucial for automating the entire process from bottle manufacturing to filling, capping, labeling, and packaging. The core equipment includes blow molding machines, filling machines, capping machines, and downstream packaging equipment. The industry is characterized by integrated solutions, with developed countries focusing on line upgrades and emerging markets still in the expansion phase [10][4]. 2. Domestic Market - Recent structural changes in domestic beverage consumption, driven by health trends, have led to rapid growth in sugar-free drinks, tea, and functional beverages. This has resulted in a significant recovery in equipment demand, with domestic companies entering an expansion cycle post-2019. The competition in the domestic market is intense, but growth is expected to remain stable [4][21]. 3. Overseas Market Opportunities - Emerging markets have shown consistent growth over the past decade, accelerated post-pandemic. Increased consumer spending in countries like India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America has driven demand for bottled water and sugary beverages. Chinese companies, leveraging cost advantages and service capabilities, are seeing accelerated export growth, with significant potential for market share expansion in these regions [4][21][25]. 4. Advantages of Chinese Liquid Packaging Machinery Exports - Chinese manufacturers have several competitive advantages in overseas markets, including lower purchase and maintenance costs compared to Western brands, efficient logistics to Southeast Asia and South Asia, and the ability to provide customized products and stable technical services. The global trend of investment shifting towards emerging markets further supports the demand for packaging equipment [4][25][30]. 5. Market Size and Growth Projections - The global packaging equipment market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.8% from 2024 to 2032, while China's packaging machinery industry is expected to grow at an annual rate of around 8% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The average profitability growth rate in the industry is estimated at 7%, with exports potentially reaching $12 billion [4][21]. 6. Market Demand and Supply Analysis - The report estimates that the domestic liquid packaging machinery market size for beverage packaging will reach approximately 169.4 billion yuan in 2024, based on consumption data and production line requirements. The overseas market for liquid packaging machinery is projected to be around 750.9 billion yuan, with significant growth potential in regions like Asia-Pacific and Africa [4][31][35]. 7. Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Dali Long, New Meixing, Yongchuan Intelligent, and Zhongya Co., which are positioned to benefit from the industry's growth and export opportunities [4][21].