Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities highlights the rapid development of emerging beverage categories such as sugar-free drinks, tea, and functional beverages, which have led to a significant recovery in equipment demand due to continuous new product launches and capacity expansion by second and third-tier brands [1][2]. Domestic Market - The domestic beverage consumption has undergone significant structural changes, benefiting from the widespread adoption of health-conscious consumption, with emerging categories like sugar-free drinks and functional beverages experiencing rapid growth [2]. - The demand for liquid packaging machinery is driven by the need for line upgrades, with a strong demand for ultra-clean and sterile lines [2]. - The domestic market is expected to see steady growth, with listed companies entering an expansion cycle since 2019, despite intense competition [2]. Overseas Market - Emerging markets have shown overall growth over the past decade, with accelerated growth post-pandemic, particularly in regions like India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, where consumer spending power is increasing [3]. - Chinese companies are experiencing accelerated export growth due to their significant cost-performance advantages and after-sales service, although their market share remains low, indicating substantial future growth potential [3][4]. - The Asia-Pacific market is witnessing a decline in German companies' deliveries in 2024, while imports from China are on the rise [3]. Industry Outlook - The overall industry is experiencing a positive development trend, with simultaneous increases in revenue scale and profitability due to the resonance of domestic and international market demands [4]. - The global packaging equipment market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% from 2025 to 2032, while China's packaging machinery industry is expected to grow at an average annual rate of around 8% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2]. - Domestic manufacturers have established strong competitive advantages for overseas expansion, including lower costs and faster delivery times compared to Western brands, as well as stable technical service capabilities [4].

Core Viewpoint - The liquid packaging industry is experiencing a positive development trend with simultaneous growth in revenue scale and profitability, driven by structural changes in domestic beverage consumption and the rise of health-conscious products [1][3]. Domestic Market - Significant structural changes in domestic beverage consumption have occurred, with rapid development of sugar-free drinks, tea beverages, and functional drinks, leading to increased demand for equipment [2][3]. - The domestic market is entering an expansion cycle post-2019, with fierce competition expected to continue, resulting in stable growth [2][3]. - The average annual growth rate of China's packaging machinery industry is projected to be around 8% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with an average profitability growth rate of 7% for industry players [2]. Overseas Market - Emerging markets have shown overall growth in the past decade, with accelerated growth post-pandemic, particularly in India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, driven by rising consumer spending [3]. - Chinese companies are benefiting from significant cost advantages and after-sales service, leading to accelerated export growth, despite currently low market share in overseas markets [3][4]. Competitive Advantages of Domestic Manufacturers - Domestic equipment has lower acquisition and long-term maintenance costs compared to brands from Europe, the US, and Japan, with efficient logistics and production timelines that meet the needs of emerging markets [4]. - Domestic enterprises have the capability to provide highly customized products and stable technical services, which are essential for meeting the demands of new markets [4]. - The trend of global investment favoring emerging countries and the upgrading of the food and beverage industry in countries like Vietnam and Indonesia creates ongoing demand for packaging equipment [4]. Recommended Stocks - Companies to watch include Dali Long (002209.SZ), Xin Meixing (300509.SZ), Yongchuang Intelligent (603901.SH), and Zhongya Co., Ltd. (300512.SZ) [4].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the liquid packaging machinery industry. Core Insights - The liquid packaging machinery is essential for the fast-moving consumer goods sector, particularly in food and beverage, personal care, and condiments. The industry primarily focuses on complete line sales, such as "blow-fill-cap" solutions. In developed markets, the emphasis is on upgrading existing production lines, while developing markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are still expanding their production capacity. The economic lifespan of domestic liquid packaging machinery is typically around 10 years [4][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Liquid Packaging Machinery Overview - Liquid packaging machinery is crucial for automating the entire process from bottle manufacturing to filling, capping, labeling, and packaging. The core equipment includes blow molding machines, filling machines, capping machines, and downstream packaging equipment. The industry is characterized by integrated solutions, with developed countries focusing on line upgrades and emerging markets still in the expansion phase [10][4]. 2. Domestic Market - Recent structural changes in domestic beverage consumption, driven by health trends, have led to rapid growth in sugar-free drinks, tea, and functional beverages. This has resulted in a significant recovery in equipment demand, with domestic companies entering an expansion cycle post-2019. The competition in the domestic market is intense, but growth is expected to remain stable [4][21]. 3. Overseas Market Opportunities - Emerging markets have shown consistent growth over the past decade, accelerated post-pandemic. Increased consumer spending in countries like India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America has driven demand for bottled water and sugary beverages. Chinese companies, leveraging cost advantages and service capabilities, are seeing accelerated export growth, with significant potential for market share expansion in these regions [4][21][25]. 4. Advantages of Chinese Liquid Packaging Machinery Exports - Chinese manufacturers have several competitive advantages in overseas markets, including lower purchase and maintenance costs compared to Western brands, efficient logistics to Southeast Asia and South Asia, and the ability to provide customized products and stable technical services. The global trend of investment shifting towards emerging markets further supports the demand for packaging equipment [4][25][30]. 5. Market Size and Growth Projections - The global packaging equipment market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.8% from 2024 to 2032, while China's packaging machinery industry is expected to grow at an annual rate of around 8% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The average profitability growth rate in the industry is estimated at 7%, with exports potentially reaching $12 billion [4][21]. 6. Market Demand and Supply Analysis - The report estimates that the domestic liquid packaging machinery market size for beverage packaging will reach approximately 169.4 billion yuan in 2024, based on consumption data and production line requirements. The overseas market for liquid packaging machinery is projected to be around 750.9 billion yuan, with significant growth potential in regions like Asia-Pacific and Africa [4][31][35]. 7. Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Dali Long, New Meixing, Yongchuan Intelligent, and Zhongya Co., which are positioned to benefit from the industry's growth and export opportunities [4][21].