Workflow
光伏玻璃供需分析
icon
Search documents
行业供需差扩大,光伏玻璃价格存在下行压力
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-27 06:59
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - The supply - demand gap in the photovoltaic glass industry is widening, and there is downward pressure on prices in the later stage. The industry will face high - inventory pressure again, and short - term demand is expected to decline [1][2][3]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Photovoltaic Glass Weekly Outlook - **Supply**: Last week, the actual change in the domestic photovoltaic glass supply side was small. A 1200 - ton kiln was ignited, and a 1300 - ton kiln was cold - repaired. The current in - production capacity is 88,680 tons per day, with a capacity utilization rate of 67.82%. There are still plans to put multiple production lines into operation, but they may be postponed [1][7][11]. - **Demand**: The shipment of photovoltaic glass manufacturers was weak last week. Component manufacturers mainly consumed their previous low - price inventory, and due to component price adjustments and low terminal acceptance, the demand for photovoltaic glass is expected to decline in the short term [1][7][20]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of domestic photovoltaic glass manufacturers increased significantly last week. The supply - demand gap widened, and the inventory may further rise later [2][7][23]. 2. Overview of the Domestic Photovoltaic Glass Industry Chain Data 2.1 Photovoltaic Glass Spot Price - As of October 24, the mainstream price of 2.0mm coated (panel) photovoltaic glass was 13 yuan per square meter, unchanged from last week; the mainstream price of 3.2mm coated glass was 20 yuan per square meter, down from last week [1][8]. 2.2 Supply - side - Similar to the supply situation in the weekly outlook, there are also details about production line changes in 2025, including cold - repairs and ignitions in different regions and companies [11][19]. 2.3 Demand - side - The demand for photovoltaic glass is weak in the short term, mainly affected by component manufacturers' inventory consumption and component price adjustments [20]. 2.4 Inventory - side - The inventory of photovoltaic glass manufacturers increased significantly last week, and the supply - demand gap widened, with the possibility of further inventory increase [23]. 2.5 Cost - profit side - The profitability of the photovoltaic glass industry was flat last week, and the current industry gross profit margin is about 3.5% [26]. 2.6 Trade - side - From January to September 2025, China's photovoltaic glass export volume increased by 19.7% compared with the same period in 2024, and the export side remains prosperous [34].
行业库存压力偏大,新月价格或继续下行
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-03 03:34
上周有一条产线引头子出玻璃,实际产出有所上行。本周暂无企 业有新投和冷修计划,供给预计持稳。 化 工 由于终端需求持续缩减,上周光伏玻璃厂家库存继续上涨,目前 行业库存已经重回高位,行业库存压力较大。 ★ 供需分析: [T报ab告le_日R期an:k] 2025 年 6 月 3 日 ★光伏玻璃基本面周度表现(截至 2025/5/30 当周): 截至 5 月 30 日,国内光伏玻璃 2.0mm 镀膜(面板)主流价格 为 12.5 元/平米,环比上周有所下跌;3.2mm 镀膜主流价格为 21.5 元/平米,环比上周持平。 周度报告——光伏玻璃 行业库存压力偏大,新月价格或继续下行 能 源 上周光伏玻璃需求端仍在继续萎缩,月末基本无订单交付,行业 多以月末结算工作为主。预计本周行业开始商议新月订单,组件 排产预计较五月有较大幅度下滑,从而光伏玻璃消费或将明显缩 减。 随着行业供需差进一步扩大,预估新月价格要在五月结算价格基 础上继续调整。 ★ 风险提示: 组件厂家上调开工率。 | 曹璐 | 资深分析师(化工) | | --- | --- | | 从业资格号: | F3013434 | | 投资咨询号: | Z001 ...
行业库存重回高位,光伏玻璃价格承压运行
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 11:15
周度报告——光伏玻璃 行业库存重回高位,光伏玻璃价格承压运行 [T报ab告le_日R期an:k] 2025 年 5 月 19 日 ★光伏玻璃基本面周度表现(截至 2025/5/16 当周): 截至 5 月 16 日,国内光伏玻璃 2.0mm 镀膜(面板)主流价格 为 13.5 元/平米,环比上周持平;3.2mm 镀膜主流价格为 21.5 元/平米,亦环比上周持平。 上周有一条光伏玻璃产线引头子出玻璃,实际产出上行。预计本 周仍有多条产线引头子出玻璃,行业实际供给仍在增加。目前暂 无新产线点火投产,基于未来需求端的降温趋势,预计行业短期 无新产线计划投产。 能 源 化 上周终端需求缩减较为明显,组件厂家排产持续下调,进而减少 对光伏玻璃的采购订单。预计本周这一情况将延续,组件厂排产 或继续下行,光伏玻璃需求维持弱势运行。 工 由于上周光伏玻璃需求端呈缩量态势而供给端继续上行,多数光 伏玻璃厂家库存继续上涨,目前行业库存已经重回高位。 ★ 供需分析: 随着行业供需差进一步扩大,光伏玻璃价格弱势运行。 ★ 风险提示: 组件厂家上调开工率。 | | | | 曹璐 | 资深分析师(化工) | | --- | --- | ...
新月价格提涨,下游博弈心态较强
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-04-07 11:14
周度报告——光伏玻璃 新月价格提涨,下游博弈心态较强 [T报ab告le_日R期an:k] 2025 年 4 月 7 日 ★光伏玻璃基本面周度表现(截至 2025/4/3 当周): 截至 4 月 3 日,国内光伏玻璃 2.0mm 镀膜(面板)主流价格为 14.5 元/平米,环比上周上涨;3.2mm 镀膜主流价格为 22.5 元/ 平米,亦环比上周上涨。4 月光伏玻璃价格继续上涨,本月光伏 玻璃厂家与二三线下游客户成交价格多为高价区间,与一线下游 客户成交多为低价区间,具体成交价格根据实际交易量而定。与 此同时,行业仍有下游客户采取先拿货月底再议价的方式。 能 源 上周国内光伏玻璃市场新增一条产线投产及多个窑口恢复,整体 产能和产量呈上涨态势。预计本周多家光伏玻璃企业仍存在点火 计划,行业供给将持续上行。 化 工 月末阶段光伏玻璃行业走货节奏较快,多家下游存在囤货行为且 量较大。进入四月份,光伏玻璃厂家发货节奏环比放缓,主要原 因是新月价格提涨,下游博弈心态较强,拿货量明显减少。预计 本周价格博弈情况将基本有结果,清明节后发货量将陆续恢复。 进入四月份,光伏玻璃厂家发货节奏环比放缓,预计本周价格博 弈情况将基本有 ...