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福莱特(601865):去库叠加盈利修复,25Q3业绩超预期
Minsheng Securities· 2025-11-02 11:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations due to inventory reduction and profit recovery, with a Q3 revenue of 4.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.95% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.22% [1][2] - The company has successfully reduced its glass inventory, leading to improved shipments and revenue, supported by rising glass prices and declining costs [2] - The company is positioned to navigate through market cycles due to its competitive advantages, including scale, resources, and technology, with plans for new production capacity in Indonesia [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 12.464 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.66%, and a net profit of 638 million yuan, down 50.79% year-on-year [1] - The company forecasts revenues of 16.26 billion yuan, 19.675 billion yuan, and 24.995 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding growth rates of -13.0%, 21.0%, and 27.0% [3][4] - The projected net profits for the same years are 824 million yuan, 1.671 billion yuan, and 2.540 billion yuan, with growth rates of -18.2%, 102.9%, and 52.0% respectively [4][3]