Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is accelerating the establishment of a long-term mechanism for government debt management that aligns with high-quality development, emphasizing the importance of reasonable debt scale and structure to support modernization and economic stability [2][11]. Debt Scale and Structure - The "15th Five-Year Plan" highlights the need for an active fiscal policy, which includes appropriate debt increases to stabilize investment and expand domestic demand [3]. - Future trends indicate that the scale of government debt in China may continue to expand, with a focus on legal debt growth while reducing hidden debts [7][8]. - As of the end of 2023, China's total government debt is projected to reach 85 trillion yuan, with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 67.5%, which is considered manageable [8]. Debt Management Mechanism - The government aims to optimize the debt structure, particularly the relationship between central and local government debts, to enhance macroeconomic stability and reduce overall debt costs [12][16]. - The central government’s debt is significantly lower than that of local governments, suggesting room for increased leverage at the central level to boost effective demand [12][14]. Future Debt Strategy - The issuance of long-term special bonds is planned to support major national strategies and economic recovery, with significant amounts allocated for 2024 and 2025 [14]. - The government intends to clarify the nature and purpose of different types of bonds, ensuring that regular bonds are used for routine expenditures while special bonds address strategic needs [15]. Fiscal Reforms and Monitoring - The establishment of a comprehensive monitoring system for local government debt and a dynamic risk warning system is essential for sustainable debt management [16]. - Recommendations include enhancing the transparency of debt information and improving the assessment of local government debt sustainability [16].