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当不成总统了?美本土拉响警报,特朗普突遭晴天霹雳,美内部大乱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 02:54
Core Points - The article highlights the political turmoil in the U.S. as of May 2025, with ongoing nationwide protests, judicial challenges from states against the federal government, and internal power struggles within the ruling party, all exacerbated by low approval ratings for the Trump administration [1][2][4]. Group 1: Protests and Public Sentiment - The "50501" movement has led to continuous protests across the U.S., with tens of thousands participating on May 1, 2025, expressing dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's policies on the economy, immigration, and education [1][4]. - Over 70% of respondents in a survey believe Trump's economic policies could lead to a recession in the short term, with more than half feeling the national economy has worsened since his inauguration [2][8]. Group 2: Judicial Challenges and Political Dynamics - California's Governor Newsom announced a lawsuit against Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy, claiming it violates legal procedures, reflecting a political counterattack from the Democratic stronghold [4][5]. - The lawsuit serves as a political signal, indicating that the Democrats are launching a new offensive against Trump under the guise of legal action, while the complexity of U.S. judicial processes may delay any immediate impact on tariff policies [5][10]. Group 3: Leadership and Succession Speculation - Trump announced he would not seek re-election after his current term, a shift from earlier statements about considering a third term, likely influenced by declining poll numbers [7][8]. - Potential successors, Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio, exhibit different political characteristics, indicating possible internal conflicts within the Republican Party regarding future leadership [7][8]. Group 4: Economic Policy and Federal Reserve Relations - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated that Trump's tariff policies could exacerbate inflation, while refusing to intervene to stabilize the economy, highlighting a clash between Trump's fiscal strategies and the Fed's focus on long-term financial stability [8][10]. - The ongoing tension between Trump's administration and the Federal Reserve may lead to increased pressure on Trump's fiscal plans, especially if monetary policy does not support his tariff initiatives [10][11]. Group 5: Broader Implications - The article suggests that the ongoing political crises could lead to a long-term shift in the global political and economic landscape, as the legitimacy of U.S. policies is questioned both domestically and internationally [11].