Group 1 - The ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US, Europe, and Russia are drawing in countries like China, India, and Brazil, with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg issuing threats to these nations regarding trade with Russia [1] - Trump's ultimatum to Putin, demanding a peace agreement with Ukraine within 50 days or facing 100% tariffs on countries purchasing Russian oil, reflects a strategic shift that may indicate deeper divisions among US allies regarding their strategic goals [1][3] - Stoltenberg's confidence may be misplaced as the US's internal divisions on Russia policy become more apparent, with Trump's proposed "secondary sanctions" indirectly targeting countries like China [3] Group 2 - China's response to the pressure from the US includes the revision of its "Export Control Technology Catalog," which now includes core lithium battery technologies, directly impacting the highly dependent renewable energy supply chains in the US and Europe [3][5] - The trend of increasing dissatisfaction among developing countries towards unilateral sanctions is leading to closer ties with China and Russia, indicating a shift in global alliances [5] - The proportion of non-dollar transactions in global trade has surpassed 38%, reflecting a move towards a multipolar economic landscape, with China and Russia conducting 95% of their trade in local currencies [7]