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从波兰视角看,欧洲安全局势将如何演变?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 02:37
Core Viewpoint - The Polish Defense Minister predicts a potential global military conflict between Russia and NATO by 2027, raising concerns about escalating international tensions [1][3]. Group 1: Context of the Prediction - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has heightened global concerns, particularly for Poland, which perceives a significant threat from Russia [3]. - The Polish Defense Minister believes that if Russia achieves certain objectives in Ukraine, it may seek to expand further into Eastern Europe, with Poland being the most vulnerable [3]. Group 2: Military Dynamics - Both Russia and NATO possess substantial military capabilities, making a full-scale conflict unlikely due to the catastrophic consequences, especially considering nuclear weapons [3][4]. - NATO is not a monolithic entity; member countries have differing views and interests, which could affect their willingness to engage in a direct conflict with Russia [4]. Group 3: Poland's Military Strategy - The prediction may serve Poland's national interests, as the country has been significantly increasing its military spending and capabilities [4]. - By emphasizing the "Russian threat," Poland may justify further military expenditures and strengthen ties with the United States and other NATO allies [4].