Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that a multilateral trade system is likely to emerge in the future, supported by Europe, China, and other major emerging economies, as the economic weight of emerging markets increases globally [1][5] - Michael Spence emphasized that the current U.S. administration's approach to trade negotiations is predominantly bilateral, particularly with China, which accounts for 13% of U.S. imports and 15% of China's exports [3] - The easing of the U.S.-China trade tensions is expected to allow the Federal Reserve to focus on managing employment and inflation, with hopes for negotiations to alleviate cost pressures and return to a more normal economic environment [3][4] Group 2 - Three potential scenarios for the future global trade system were discussed: a return to protectionism, a dual influence of the U.S. and China, or a stronger multilateral system supported by emerging markets [4][5] - The most likely scenario is the support for a multilateral system by major economies, despite the current U.S. government's anti-multilateral stance, indicating that a global multilateral framework could persist even without U.S. involvement [5] - The economic capacity of emerging markets has increased significantly compared to 25-30 years ago, making a globalization process excluding the U.S. more feasible, albeit potentially chaotic [5]