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未知机构:DFJG航发动力军工行情最具进攻性品种被低估的军贸核心-20260120
未知机构· 2026-01-20 02:25
Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The focus is on the military aviation engine sector, specifically the company "航发动力" (Aero Engine Corporation), which is identified as a core beneficiary of military trade and is currently undervalued in the market [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Market Position**: The company holds a monopoly on all domestic military aircraft engines, indicating a significant competitive advantage. However, its market valuation is notably low compared to overseas counterparts, where engine companies have a market value that is nearly equal to that of aircraft, while domestically it is only 1:5 [2][3]. - **Engine Market Dynamics**: Military engines are the third largest category in global military trade exports. They are often sold bundled with aircraft but can also be sold separately. The ongoing maintenance needs, such as major overhauls every three years and engine replacements every ten years, create a continuous demand for aftermarket services [2][3]. - **Future Growth Potential**: The company is expected to enter a new growth phase starting from the 26th year of its operational cycle, following a period of restructuring and increased production capacity. The CJ1000 certification is anticipated to be a significant turning point for the company [3]. - **Management Changes**: The new chairman of the group is noted for having strong technical knowledge and exceptional market-oriented management skills, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency [5]. - **Market Capitalization Outlook**: The company is projected to reach a market value of 240 billion in the short term, with long-term potential to exceed 500 billion, aligning with the combined market values of the five major aircraft manufacturers [6]. Additional Important Insights - **Aftermarket Service Evolution**: The changing landscape of the aftermarket is expected to return a significant share of overhaul services to the company during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, following previous challenges related to quality and reputation [4]. - **Operational Focus Shift**: There is a strategic shift from research and development to mass production, which, combined with the release of aftermarket demand, positions the company favorably for growth in the upcoming years [6].