Workflow
冰火转换
icon
Search documents
西部研究月度金股报告系列(2025年10月):坚守主线还是准备切换?-20250930
Western Securities· 2025-09-30 12:44
Group 1 - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's resumption of interest rate cuts may lead to increased foreign investment in China's export-advantaged assets, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals [1][13] - The "anti-involution" policy in China is expected to enhance the financial returns of the manufacturing sector, with a focus on high-end manufacturing capital expenditure (CAPEX) expansion since 2019, which solidifies global export competitiveness [2][14] - The report suggests that cross-border capital is accelerating its return to China, leading to a "re-inflation bull market" as China's net export scale rises and the RMB enters a long-term appreciation cycle [3][15] Group 2 - The report anticipates a shift in the A-share bull market towards consumption-driven growth, moving from an investment-driven model to one where consumption becomes the primary economic driver [4][16] - It highlights a potential "ice-fire conversion" in market dynamics, where technology sectors may lead the rally, followed by export-oriented high-end manufacturing, and eventually consumer sectors [5][17] Group 3 - The report recommends a stock portfolio for October 2025, including companies such as Dongfang Tower (Chemicals), Huafeng Aluminum (Non-ferrous), China Hongqiao (Non-ferrous), Luoyang Molybdenum (Non-ferrous), Dongfang Tantalum (Non-ferrous), Xinnengda (Electric New), Betta Pharmaceuticals (Pharmaceuticals), Yifeng Pharmacy (Pharmaceutical Retail), Bai'ao Intelligent (Military), Hikvision (Computers), and Luxshare Precision (Electronics) [6][11]