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爱尔眼科(300015):3Q25收入延续增长趋势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 06:36
Core Viewpoint - The company has shown a steady revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a positive outlook for its long-term development due to its leading diagnostic technology and brand influence, as well as the steady expansion of its service network [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 17.484 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.115 billion yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 3.119 billion yuan, representing year-on-year changes of +7.3%, -9.8%, and +0.2% respectively [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.977 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.064 billion yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.080 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of +3.8%, -24.1%, and -18.7% respectively [1]. Cost Management - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 49.3%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to regular changes in business structure [2]. - The company has successfully reduced its sales, management, and R&D expense ratios to 9.3%, 13.5%, and 1.3% respectively, with year-on-year decreases of -0.7, -0.1, and -0.1 percentage points, indicating improved efficiency in expense management [2]. Cash Flow - The net operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 5.078 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.1% year-on-year increase, indicating a positive trend in cash flow levels [3]. Business Outlook - The company expects its core business to maintain a positive growth trend throughout 2025, driven by advancements in refractive surgery techniques and a strong demand for cataract and basic eye disease treatments [4]. - The company is actively enhancing its domestic and international business capabilities, with significant progress in its tiered chain network strategy and ongoing efforts to increase market share in Europe and Southeast Asia [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its revenue growth and gross margin forecasts, projecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 3.292 billion yuan, 3.672 billion yuan, and 4.088 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting downward adjustments of -16%, -17%, and -19% respectively [6]. - The company is valued at a 40x PE for 2026, with a target price of 15.75 yuan, down from a previous value of 17.63 yuan, based on a comparison with industry peers [6].