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科创生物医药ETF(588250)仍有空间,机构指出后续还有三大催化因素
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 09:11
Core Insights - The recent performance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Biopharmaceutical Index shows mixed results, with notable gains from companies like Teabo Bio and Yifang Bio, while Baili Tianheng led the declines [1] - The underlying logic of innovative drugs has shifted from "from nothing to something" to "from something to refinement," emphasizing the importance of advanced engineering and specific technology tracks in China [1] - The market for innovative drugs is expected to see significant growth, with projections indicating that Chinese gene-based innovative drugs could achieve sales of $200 billion to $250 billion in the global pharmaceutical market [1] Market Overview - The current valuation of leading companies in the ADC and PD1 plus sectors suggests that the market has not yet reached a reasonable valuation, indicating potential for further growth [1] - The overall market capitalization of the innovative drug sector has increased from 1.3 trillion to 2.4 trillion, reflecting a substantial market expansion [1] - The potential market capitalization increase could range from 1.8 trillion to 2.7 trillion, suggesting that the sector has realized 40-60% of its potential growth [1] Future Catalysts - There are still opportunities for companies to secure business development (BD) orders, which could drive further growth [2] - The backdrop of multinational corporations facing patent cliffs is likely to lead to continued significant investments in innovative drugs [2] - The commercialization of Chinese gene-based innovative drugs in overseas markets is expected to ramp up, contributing to overall market growth [3] Index Composition - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Biopharmaceutical Index comprises 50 major companies in the biopharmaceutical sector, with the top ten stocks accounting for 50.3% of the index [3]