利率路径预测
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伦敦金小幅走跌 关注今晚美经济数据
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-09 10:49
Group 1 - The current trading price of London gold is reported at $4187.29 per ounce, showing a slight decrease of 0.04% from the previous session, with a high of $4198.62 and a low of $4169.53, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Market pricing indicates a nearly 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with analysts highlighting the importance of internal voting disagreements and the potential for liquidity support announcements [2] - The recent trading of London gold has faced downward pressure, particularly after breaking below the EMA50 support level, but there are positive signals from the relative strength index suggesting a potential rebound opportunity [3] Group 2 - Analysts are focusing on the upcoming JOLTS job openings data, which may influence dollar price dynamics and provide some momentum for gold prices ahead of key central bank events [2] - The Federal Reserve is expected to release new interest rate path forecasts as part of its quarterly economic projections, which will be closely monitored by market participants [2] - Despite recent weakness in gold prices, the overall short-term bullish trend remains intact, supported by the trendline and the potential for a new rebound foundation [3]
鲍威尔:终有一天美联储可能会达到一个适合降息的位置
news flash· 2025-06-18 18:53
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that one day the Fed will become more confident and may reach a position suitable for interest rate cuts; however, there is little confidence in predicting the path of interest rates, making it challenging to provide reasonable justifications for any projected rate path [1] Group 1 - The Fed is expected to eventually find a suitable point for lowering interest rates [1] - Current predictions regarding interest rate paths lack strong confidence [1] - Justifications for any projected interest rate paths are difficult to establish [1]