Group 1 - The intensity of the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains relatively stable without significant escalation signs [1][3] - The U.S. President Trump announced a 50-day deadline for a peace agreement, coinciding with the EU's increased support for Ukraine [2][3] - The EU has officially taken over the task of aiding Ukraine from the U.S., indicating a potential increase in Ukraine's offensive capabilities [2] Group 2 - There is a prevailing belief among Western economists and media that the Russian economy is on the verge of collapse due to sanctions [4][5] - The EU approved the 18th round of sanctions against Russia, which includes significant measures such as banning the use of the "Nord Stream" pipeline and setting price caps on oil imports [5] - Russia's presidential press secretary stated that the country has become immune to sanctions, suggesting that each new round of sanctions negatively impacts the imposing countries [6] Group 3 - As of June 18, 2025, over 30,000 sanctions have been imposed on Russia, with more than 92% introduced after February 2022 [6] - The Eurasian Development Bank's report predicts a slowdown in Russia's GDP growth to 1.4% in Q1 2025, down from 4.3% in 2024 [8] - Inflation in Russia is projected to be 8.9% in Q1 2025, still above the central bank's target of 4% [9] - The Russian ruble has appreciated over 20% against the dollar compared to December 2024, reaching its highest level since the second half of 2023 [10] - Russia's defense spending is expected to rise significantly to 13.5 trillion rubles in 2025 [11] Group 4 - The cumulative effect of increasing sanctions is placing significant pressure on the Russian economy, but it remains uncertain whether this will lead to a complete economic collapse [12]