从行业销量增速来看，叉车行业外销依然保持较快增长，但国内已有良好复苏，特别是不含电动步行式 仓储车辆的叉车。根据中国工程机械工业协会微信公众号，1-5月，叉车行业销量60.2万台，同比 +9.3%，内销39.2万台，同比+6.7%，外销20.9万台，同比+14.7%;单5月份来看，行业销量12.3万台，同 比+11.8%，内销7.9万台，同比+9.3%，外销4.4万台，同比+16.6%。分车型来看，5月份不含电动步行式 仓储车辆的叉车销量为5.2万台，同比+10.4%，其中内销3.6万台，同比+9.9%，外销1.7万台，同比 +11.5%。 5月制造业景气环比改善，工业生产保持较快增长 智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，工程机械主要产品5月平均工作时长为84.5小时;工程机械主 要产品月开工率为59.5%，其中叉车56.5%。叉车与宏观经济关联度高，制造业景气回暖对国内叉车销 量有望带来积极影响。同时，国产叉车制造商凭借成本、电动化及交期优势持续开拓海外市场，凸显全 球竞争力。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 生产动能恢复，叉车开工时长及开工率转暖 5月份，叉车与工程机械行业整体生产状况有所分化。根据中国工程机 ...

Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates that the adjustment phase for tin prices has likely ended, and the long-term upward trend that began in Q4 2022 is expected to continue based on macroeconomic and supply-demand factors [1][19]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Sentiment - Recent signals show a significant easing in the US-China tariff war, with important agreements reached during trade talks in Geneva and London, positively impacting global trade and economic conditions [2]. - China's manufacturing PMI for May recorded 49.5, a marginal increase, indicating a slight recovery in manufacturing activities, with production index rising to 50.7, suggesting acceleration in production [3]. Group 2: Tin Supply and Demand Factors - Tin supply is constrained due to lower-than-expected recovery in Myanmar's Wa State, with imports from Myanmar remaining at historically low levels of 1,000 to 3,000 tons per month since November 2024 [6]. - The Bisie mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo, a significant tin production area, is experiencing slow recovery due to local security issues, with current imports from this region around 3,000 tons [7]. - Domestic tin mining in China faces challenges due to declining ore grades and rising extraction costs, with regulatory actions aimed at curbing illegal mining impacting production [9]. - Processing fees for tin concentrate have hit record lows, which reflects tight supply conditions and has suppressed domestic refined tin output to below 15,000 tons per month [11]. - Both domestic and international tin inventories are in a destocking cycle, with LME tin inventories decreasing by nearly 50% since the end of last year [14]. Group 3: Demand Growth - Traditional applications of tin in electronics, home appliances, and chemicals are being supplemented by increased demand from the semiconductor and photovoltaic sectors, with global semiconductor sales projected to reach $627.6 billion in 2024, a 19.1% year-on-year increase [17]. - The semiconductor industry is in a recovery phase, with demand for tin solder materials expected to grow, and the correlation between LME tin prices and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is strong, indicating a close relationship between semiconductor market performance and tin demand [17].