券商基本面与估值错配
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国盛证券:券商板块基本面改善 基本面与估值严重错配 配置性价比高
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-09 03:46
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market is expected to experience a slow bull market in 2025, leading to significant improvements in the performance of brokerage firms [1] - Most brokerage firms' profit forecasts for 2025 indicate overall profit growth, with 6 out of 29 firms reporting an increase of over 100% and 19 firms showing an increase of over 50% [1] - The average daily trading volume of stock funds in the A-share market is projected to reach 2.08 trillion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 70.36% [1] Group 2 - The number of IPO approvals is expected to increase by 109.43% year-on-year, with the amount raised growing by 208.01% [1] - The total net profit attributable to shareholders of listed brokerage firms that have released profit forecasts is expected to grow by approximately 60% year-on-year [1] - Leading brokerage firms are showing steady growth, while some small and medium-sized firms are demonstrating significant performance elasticity [1] Group 3 - The brokerage industry is anticipated to benefit from the long-term healthy development and increasing activity in the capital market [1] - Despite the positive outlook, there is a significant mismatch between valuations and fundamentals, with the overall price-to-book (PB) ratio of the brokerage industry at only 1.36 times [1] - The brokerage sector has experienced notable stagnation previously, making the current positioning highly cost-effective for investment [1]