加密货币市场重构
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比特币被华尔街“驯服”?贝莱德ETF成幕后推手
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-29 09:39
Core Insights - Wall Street is gradually gaining control over Bitcoin pricing, shifting from offshore trading platforms and retail enthusiasm to a more structured approach within the U.S. financial system [2][3] - The launch of BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has significantly influenced the Bitcoin market, with its assets under management reaching $86 billion and driving a robust options market [3][4] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The IBIT has become a key engine for risk pricing in the crypto market, with its related options' open interest tripling this year to approximately $34 billion [3][4] - Daily trading volume for IBIT has averaged $4 billion, surpassing flagship funds in credit and emerging markets, only trailing behind the most liquid products in U.S. stocks, gold, and small-cap ETFs [3][4] Group 2: Institutional Involvement - The number of institutions holding IBIT has nearly doubled since the end of last year, indicating a rapid influx of traditional financial players into the market [4] - IBIT accounts for just over half of the total assets in U.S. Bitcoin ETFs but contributes the majority of trading activity, highlighting its central role in market risk management [4] Group 3: Structural Changes - The geographical focus of Bitcoin price discovery is shifting towards the U.S., with Bitcoin-to-U.S. dollar trading volume during U.S. market hours increasing from 41.4% in 2021 to 57.3% [6] - Nearly half of the current Bitcoin spot trading volume is conducted through 12 U.S. ETFs, reflecting a significant structural change in the market [6] Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - The rapid growth of IBIT options is narrowing the gap with Deribit, a popular offshore derivatives trading platform, but the two markets remain largely disconnected [7] - Regulatory constraints, such as the current position limit of 25,000 contracts, are hindering the expansion of IBIT's options market, despite calls for an increase to enhance liquidity [8] Group 5: Future Outlook - If the SEC raises the position limit, IBIT's options trading volume could see significant growth, positioning it as a preferred entry point for Wall Street into the crypto world [8] - The integration of digital assets into the traditional financial system is expected to continue, with the notion that all assets will eventually be digitized [9]