现在，欧洲最害怕的情况就是乌克兰顶不住，突然停火。你可能觉得停火应该是好事，但对柏林、巴黎甚至华沙这些决策者来 说，停火意味着俄罗斯在战场上取得了既成事实。一旦防线在乌克兰境内固定下来，俄罗斯的导弹和装甲部队就等于在波罗的海 三国和波兰的眼皮底下扎营。我查了一下北约第五条款的解释，虽然说是集体防御，但你真指望波罗的海的小国出事时，美国和 西欧能像现在这样毫不犹豫地冲上去吗？这些东欧国家心里其实非常虚。所以，前一阵子波兰、法国和德国在魏玛三角会晤中， 甚至讨论要往乌克兰派遣教官，实际上是在加固这道防线。他们宁愿战火在乌克兰的第聂伯河流域燃烧，也不希望炮火传到华沙 或塔林。除了安全，经济上的考虑也让人头皮发麻。 有些人天真地认为，一旦停火，俄罗斯的天然气就会恢复，欧洲的电费会降下来。其实，这几乎是不可能的。我特地查了一下欧 盟统计局的数据，欧洲为了减少对俄罗斯天然气的依赖，花了天价去建液化天然气（LNG）接收站，还买了美国贵得离谱的液化 天然气。这些新的能源基础设施已经投入了大量资金，供应链也都已经改变，怎么可能回头？如果停火，俄罗斯手握能源这张 牌，一定会坐地起价。到那时，欧洲就面临两难：一方面是还没回本的新能 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that President Trump expresses support for NATO's Article 5, which emphasizes collective defense among member states [1]

Group 1 - The core message emphasizes that President Macron's responsibility is not to explain NATO's Article 5, which signifies unity among all member states [1]

Core Viewpoint - The EU's top diplomat emphasizes the clarity of NATO's mutual defense clause in response to Trump's comments questioning its interpretation [1] Group 1: NATO and Defense Commitments - The mutual defense clause, known as Article 5, is clearly defined as an attack on one member being an attack on all [1] - Trump's remarks have raised concerns about the U.S. commitment to NATO, particularly regarding the interpretation of Article 5 [1] - NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg expresses confidence in the U.S. commitment to Article 5 [1] Group 2: Political Context - Trump's comments were made prior to a summit in The Hague, indicating a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy [1] - During a meeting with Stoltenberg, Trump appeared to soften his stance, praising NATO's efforts to increase defense spending [1]

Core Point - President Trump expressed full support for NATO's Article 5 in response to a question, indicating a commitment to collective defense among member nations [1] Group 1 - The statement reinforces the United States' commitment to NATO and its obligations under Article 5, which states that an attack on one member is an attack on all [1]

Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the simplicity of NATO's Article 5, which is based on mutual defense, stating "an attack against one is an attack against all" [1]

Core Viewpoint - The statement from Polish President Duda emphasizes the clarity of NATO's Article 5, which signifies collective defense and leaves no room for dispute [1] Group 1 - NATO's Article 5 is clearly defined as a commitment to collective defense among member states [1]

Group 1 - The Finnish President expressed complete confidence in NATO's Article 5, which emphasizes collective defense among member states [1]

Core Point - The Finnish Foreign Minister stated that U.S. President Trump fully supports NATO's Article 5 [1] Group 1 - The statement emphasizes the commitment of the U.S. to NATO's collective defense principle, which is crucial for the alliance's security framework [1]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump stated that there are multiple interpretations regarding the definition of NATO's Article 5 [1] Group 1 - The discussion around NATO's Article 5 highlights the varying perspectives among member countries [1] - This ambiguity could impact the collective defense strategy and the unity of NATO [1] - The statement reflects ongoing debates about the commitment levels of NATO allies [1]