半导体存储行业超级周期
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存储芯片巨头大手笔扩产
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-12 23:07
Core Viewpoint - The storage industry is experiencing a "super cycle" driven by AI demand, leading to significant expansion plans from major companies like Jiangbolong and Demingli, with expectations of continued price increases into the first half of next year [1][5]. Group 1: Expansion Plans - Jiangbolong has announced a fundraising plan of 3.7 billion yuan, while Demingli has proposed a 3.2 billion yuan expansion plan [1]. - Jiangbolong's fundraising will focus on three key areas: storage product application technology development, NAND Flash main control chip design, and storage chip packaging and testing [1]. - Demingli aims to enhance its full-chain technical capabilities from storage main control chip R&D to storage module delivery through its fundraising projects [1]. Group 2: AI Market Focus - Jiangbolong's fundraising will support high-end storage development and industrialization projects aimed at the AI sector, with a total investment of 930 million yuan for AI-related storage solutions [3][4]. - The demand for storage in AI servers is significantly higher than in traditional servers, with DRAM usage approximately eight times and NAND Flash usage three times that of conventional servers [3]. - Both companies are targeting high-capacity and high-performance solid-state drives (SSDs) and memory products to meet the growing needs of AI applications [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The global semiconductor storage market is projected to grow by 16.2% by 2026, reaching a size of 214.8 billion USD, presenting opportunities for domestic storage manufacturers [5]. - Jiangbolong and Demingli are both focusing on enhancing their production capabilities to meet the increasing demand from data centers and AI applications [5]. - The storage industry is characterized by a supply-demand imbalance, with expectations of limited supply from upstream manufacturers in the coming years [6]. Group 4: Financial Health and Strategy - Both companies are facing cash flow challenges, with Demingli reporting negative operating cash flow for several consecutive quarters and a high debt ratio of 73.28% [7]. - Jiangbolong has initiated a plan for H-share listing to address its urgent funding needs, indicating a strong demand for capital in the storage sector [7]. - Companies are adopting inventory management strategies to ensure supply chain stability amid market volatility, with a focus on aligning procurement with sales plans [7][8].