Workflow
卢布汇率
icon
Search documents
俄罗斯将发力经济结构转型
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-26 22:04
Economic Growth and Structure - The Russian economy has shown resilience with an average GDP growth of over 4% in the past two years, surpassing the global average, and a 1.5% growth rate in the first four months of this year [2] - Non-resource GDP growth is more robust than overall growth, indicating a shift away from reliance on fossil fuel exports [2] - Inflation has decreased to single digits, allowing for potential cautious monetary policy easing [2] Transition to Balanced Growth - The key task for Russia this year is to ensure a transition to balanced economic growth, characterized by moderate inflation, low unemployment, and sustained positive development [3] - Five areas of transformation have been identified: changing employment and consumption patterns, optimizing the investment environment, enhancing technological innovation, improving the quality of foreign trade, and developing the military-industrial complex [3][4] Policy Discussions - The forum provided a platform for discussions on achieving a soft landing for the economy and structural changes, with varying opinions on the current economic situation [5][6] - The Ministry of Economic Development views the economy as being on the brink of crisis, while others believe it is merely in a cooling phase [6] Inflation and Monetary Policy - The central bank aims to maintain inflation at a target level of 4%, emphasizing the importance of sustainable economic growth [6] - There is a desire in the market for lower financing costs, with potential savings for the federal budget if the key interest rate is reduced [6] Currency Exchange Rate - The ruble is expected to gradually return to predicted levels as inflation eases and monetary policy is relaxed, with forecasts suggesting an average exchange rate of 94.3 rubles per dollar by 2025 [7] - Some experts argue for a moderate depreciation of the ruble to create favorable conditions for economic development [7]