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兴业证券(601377):投资反转,蓄势待发
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-31 08:47
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with operating income reaching 9.277 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.96%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.521 billion yuan, up 90.98% [1] - The growth in performance is attributed to the active A-share market, which led to increased trading volumes and revenue from brokerage and proprietary investment businesses [1] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, predicting net profits of 2.738 billion yuan, 2.916 billion yuan, and 3.133 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 26.5%, 6.5%, and 7.4% respectively [3][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net interest income of 1.244 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.53%, with the scale of funds lent increasing by 24% to 41.7 billion yuan [2] - The brokerage business revenue was 2.161 billion yuan, up 64.71% year-on-year, driven by increased market activity [1][2] - Investment income, including fair value changes, reached 3.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.91% [1] Investment Banking and Asset Management - The company experienced a decline in investment banking revenue, which amounted to 416 million yuan, down 5.77% year-on-year, despite a significant increase in equity underwriting amounts [2] - The asset management business reported a slight decrease in net income, totaling 115 million yuan, down 0.88% year-on-year [2] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 24.5, 22.1, and 20.0 respectively, while the price-to-book (PB) ratios are expected to be 1.0, 0.9, and 0.9 [3][4][19]