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朝闻国盛:白银的市场认知差
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 06:45
Group 1: Silver Market Insights - The report highlights a significant market perception gap regarding silver, emphasizing that its long-term price trends are more closely correlated with gold than industrial demand [8]. - It argues that the market has overestimated the impact of industrial demand on silver prices while underestimating the investment demand driven by its financial attributes [8]. - The report suggests that even with a decline in photovoltaic demand, silver may still maintain a supply-demand gap due to recovering investment demand [8]. Group 2: Company Performance and Financials - The report indicates that the company achieved a record revenue of 30.332 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, with beverage business revenue growing by 8.2% [9][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 1.849 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 10.9% increase year-on-year, driven by product structure upgrades and cost reductions [9][10]. - The company is expected to maintain a robust growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 2.21 billion, 2.50 billion, and 2.76 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 19.3%, 13.2%, and 10.6% respectively [11]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The report notes that the REITs market is expected to continue to heat up in 2025 due to a low interest rate environment and macroeconomic recovery, with a focus on asset resilience and market pricing [12]. - It highlights the importance of the PCB and switch market, driven by the growing demand for high-performance networks and AI applications, with projected revenue growth for the company in the coming years [13]. - The report emphasizes the successful trial production of a mixed waste plastic resource utilization project, which is expected to significantly contribute to the company's growth trajectory in the waste recycling sector [14][15]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a "buy" rating for the company, citing its strong operational barriers, high dividend attributes, and the essential nature of its products, which are expected to benefit from increased consumer demand and cost advantages [11]. - It also suggests that the company’s innovative capabilities and strategic management will enhance its market position and profitability in the long term [10][11].