合规数字资产交易

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OSL集团(00863):配售点评报告:虽短期摊薄,然中长期成长加速
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-07-29 15:17
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of OSL Group to "Buy" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that while there may be short-term dilution effects, the long-term growth prospects are accelerating due to strategic acquisitions and compliance advantages [1][2][4] Summary by Sections Event Highlights - The total fundraising amount is HK$23.55 billion, completed through three agreements, including a placement of 101 million shares at HK$14.9 per share, representing a 15.34% discount to the previous closing price [1] - Post-placement, the total share capital increases by 13.9%, with the major shareholder maintaining a 29.95% stake, reinforcing control [1] - Fund allocation includes 50% for strategic acquisitions, 30% for global business initiatives, and 20% for working capital [1] Short-term and Long-term Impacts - Short-term market sentiment is affected by the placement discount, leading to a drop in stock price, but high participation from major shareholders and institutions indicates long-term confidence [2] - Long-term growth is driven by acquisitions targeting Southeast Asia and the establishment of a stablecoin business in line with upcoming regulations [2] Compliance and Global Expansion - OSL Group aims to establish itself as the Asia-Pacific equivalent of Coinbase, leveraging its strong compliance background to facilitate global expansion [3] - The management team, including experienced individuals from the cryptocurrency sector, is expected to enhance the company's ability to acquire quality compliant assets globally [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report anticipates a 12% short-term EPS reduction due to share dilution, but improved cash flow and reduced debt ratios are expected to optimize financial structure [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are HK$750 million, HK$1.51 billion, and HK$2.36 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 100%, 101%, and 56% respectively [4] - A price-to-sales (P/S) valuation method is applied, with a target price of HK$24.11 for 2025, indicating a 33% upside potential [4]