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中国核电(601985):公司信息更新报告:整体经营业绩稳健,新增装机对冲电价压力
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 13:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Nuclear Power (601985.SH) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The overall operating performance of the company is stable, with new installed capacity offsetting price pressure [3] - The company achieved operating revenue of 40.973 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.66% year-on-year to 5.666 billion yuan [3][4] - Due to relaxed power supply and demand and declining market prices in multiple provinces, the profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards [3] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 9.525 billion, 10.586 billion, and 11.376 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.46, 0.51, and 0.55 yuan [3] Financial Performance Summary - As of June 30, 2025, the company had a total installed capacity of 25.00 GW for nuclear power, 10.34 GW for wind power, and 22.88 GW for solar power, representing year-on-year increases of 5.3%, 36.8%, and 54.5% respectively [4] - The total power generation for H1 2025 was 99.861 billion kWh for nuclear, 10.223 billion kWh for wind, and 11.692 billion kWh for solar, with year-on-year growth of 12.0%, 34.0%, and 37.3% respectively [4] - The average electricity prices for nuclear, wind, and solar were 0.396, 0.317, and 0.438 yuan/kWh, showing a decline compared to the previous year [4] - The gross profit margins for nuclear, wind, and solar were 45.83%, 46.34%, and 44.75%, reflecting a decrease from the previous year [4] Future Growth Potential - The third-generation reactor heat supply transformation is expected to increase revenue and profit, with the first million-kilowatt commercial fast reactor in China completing preliminary design [5] - The company is expected to leverage group advantages to strengthen its core nuclear power business [5]