Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that despite renewed focus on U.S. tariffs, there is insufficient reason to significantly adjust the baseline scenario probabilities, maintaining a "soft landing" outlook for the economy [1] - The probability of an "economic soft landing" remains high due to the resilience of the U.S. labor market, while the probability of an "economic hard landing" is adjusted down to 10% [1] - The U.S. labor market continues to show stability, with corporate profitability not being challenged, leading to expectations that unemployment rates will not rise significantly [1] Group 2 - The Eurozone economy is showing signs of stabilization and improvement, particularly with Germany's recovery being the most notable, suggesting a clearer path for Eurozone economic recovery [2] - The UK economy remains weak, with growth expected to be particularly sluggish in Q2 2025, but it is approaching a turning point for a potential rebound due to improving credit conditions [2] - The company maintains a cautious stance on long-duration bonds due to the lack of political will to address long-term national debt issues, increasing the risks associated with these bonds [2] Group 3 - The company has upgraded the rating for covered bonds, which are backed by high-quality loans, as their attractiveness increases relative to other European market bonds [3] - The outlook for various credit assets has been generally downgraded based on valuation considerations, as credit spreads are at historically low levels, reducing overall valuation appeal [3] - High-quality short-term bonds continue to provide the most attractive value, with a sustained preference for this asset class [3]