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小商品城(600415):公司换帅董事长另有重任、公司重点战略地位不变,自上而下持续重点支持
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-29 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The change in the company's chairman will not affect the strategic position of Yiwu and the Small Commodity City as a crucial hub for non-US exports. The ongoing reforms in Yiwu's international trade and the business transformation of the Small Commodity City are expected to continue driving high growth trends [7] - The company’s major shareholder has completed its share buyback plan, demonstrating confidence in the company's future development and long-term investment value [7] - The company is actively pursuing new market recruitment, with the toy and beauty markets currently open for recruitment, indicating ongoing expansion efforts [7] - The financial forecasts for the company show significant growth in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with projected net profits of 4.23 billion, 5.71 billion, and 6.83 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 38%, 35%, and 19% [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to reach 15.74 billion RMB in 2024, growing to 33.23 billion RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.68% [1][8] - The company's net profit is expected to increase from 3.07 billion RMB in 2024 to 6.83 billion RMB in 2027, with a CAGR of 19.46% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.56 RMB in 2024 to 1.24 RMB in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 19.58 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 107.37 billion RMB [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.93 based on the latest diluted EPS [1][5]