Group 1: Key Factors That Could Rewrite the Script - Disruptive innovations in technology, such as breakthroughs in semiconductor processes and advancements in new energy storage and hydrogen technologies, could significantly impact the electronic industry and reduce reliance on the oil dollar system [3] - The acceleration of international settlement mechanisms through the internationalization of digital currencies like the digital yuan could challenge the dominance of the US dollar [4] - Geopolitical catalysts, including regional conflicts and the emergence of new technology alliances, could reshape global supply chains and energy security [5] Group 2: Core Strengths of China and the US - China's strengths lie in its supply chain control and market scale, with a comprehensive industrial system and the ability to pivot towards high-tech, high-margin sectors [7] - The US maintains its global financial and high-tech dominance, with the US dollar's position in global settlements and control over high-end technology and intellectual property [7] Group 3: Paths to Structural Transformation - China aims to deepen independent technological research and enhance domestic market capabilities while upgrading from a "world factory" to an "innovation engine" [7] - The US seeks to revitalize domestic manufacturing and optimize supply chain layouts, although it faces challenges such as income inequality and a shortage of high-tech labor [7] Group 4: Future Signals for Script Changes - The realization of sovereign digital currencies for international pricing of commodities would signify a major shift in the global financial system [9] - The widespread adoption of new manufacturing technologies, such as AI factories and smart materials, could trigger significant industrial changes [9] - The evolution of international standards and intellectual property rights towards a more diverse framework would represent a critical turning point [9] Group 5: Overall Perspective - The ongoing US-China competition is not merely about endurance but about who can adapt and reshape themselves amid systemic changes to seize the initiative in the new international order [12]