城投未开工土地代建

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行业透视|城投还未开工的3.6亿㎡土地中,代建企业应该关注哪些?
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-06-19 09:16
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing focus of construction companies on government investment projects, particularly in the context of a competitive market where the supply of available land is diminishing, leading to challenges in expansion and development opportunities for construction firms [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Government investment companies have played a crucial role in stabilizing the land market since 2021, with their land acquisition ratio consistently exceeding 50% from 2022 to 2024 in 30 key cities [3][4]. - Despite the high acquisition rates, the development capabilities of these investment companies have not kept pace, resulting in a significant amount of undeveloped land, totaling over 3.6 billion square meters across more than 4,200 plots [4][5]. Group 2: Development Opportunities - The 3.6 billion square meters of undeveloped land presents a potential opportunity for construction companies to explore and capitalize on, especially as the market begins to stabilize [4][18]. - The article highlights that the majority (95.3%) of the undeveloped land was acquired independently by government investment companies, indicating a concentrated opportunity for construction firms to engage in these projects [4]. Group 3: Regional Insights - The article identifies that cities in central and western China, such as Xuzhou, Chongqing, and Changsha, have a larger volume of undeveloped land, making them attractive for construction companies looking to expand [6]. - Conversely, cities like Shenzhen and Fuzhou have smaller undeveloped land areas, leading to higher competition among top construction firms [6]. Group 4: Land Characteristics - Approximately 32.3% of undeveloped plots have a low plot ratio (below 2), which aligns with the current market trend towards "better housing" and presents an opportunity for construction firms to create value [8][9]. - The article notes that 43% of undeveloped plots are smaller than 100,000 square meters, suggesting that smaller plots may be more suitable for construction firms to manage effectively [14][15]. Group 5: Strategic Focus - The article concludes that construction companies should focus on specific cities and types of undeveloped land to maximize their growth potential, emphasizing the importance of strategic resource allocation [18].